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Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

This work tackles the problem of robust zero-shot planning in non-stationary stochastic environments. We study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) evolving over time and consider Model-Based Reinforcement Learning algorithms in this setting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Erwan Lecarpentier , Emmanuel Rachelson

We consider the problem of simultaneous detection and estimation under a sequential framework. In particular we are interested in sequential tests that distinguish between the null and the alternative hypothesis and every time the decision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

We present a hidden Markov model that describes variation in an animal's position associated with varying levels of activity in action potential spike trains of individual place cell neurons. The model incorporates a coarse-graining of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-22 Marc Box , Matt W. Jones , Nick Whiteley

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

Herein, we analyze an efficient branching particle method for asymptotic solutions to a class of continuous-discrete filtering problems. Suppose that $t\to X_t$ is a Markov process and we wish to calculate the measure-valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael A. Kouritzin , Wei Sun

Consider the standard stochastic reaction network model where the dynamics is given by a continuous-time Markov chain over a discrete lattice. For such models, estimation of parameter sensitivities is an important problem, but the existing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-01 Patrik Dürrenberger , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

This paper considers maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) and linear discriminant based MAP detectors to detect changes in the mean and covariance of a stochastic input, driving specific network nodes, using noisy measurements from sensors…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Rajasekhar Anguluri , Vaibhav Katewa , Sandip Roy , Fabio Pasqualetti

The number of resident space objects is rising at an alarming rate. Mega-constellations and breakup events are proliferating in most orbital regimes, and safe navigation is becoming increasingly problematic. It is important to be able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Yannick Sztamfater Garcia , Joaquin Miguez , Manuel Sanjurjo-Rivo

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

This paper considers estimating the parameters in a regime-switching stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) noise. The model under consideration incorporates a continuous-time finite state Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-10 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

This paper has been withdrawn by the authors. Please see arXiv:1302.6058. We consider the sequential joint detection and estimation problem. Minimizing the average stopping time subject to a combination of detection and estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-15 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

In this paper, we consider the stability analysis of large-scale distributed networked control systems with random communication delays between linearly interconnected subsystems. The stability analysis is performed in the Markov jump…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Raktim Bhattacharya

Periodic recurrence is a prominent behavioural of many biological phenomena, including cell cycle and circadian rhythms. Although deterministic models are commonly used to represent the dynamics of periodic phenomena, it is known that they…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Paolo Ballarini , Mahmoud Bentriou , Paul-Henry Cournède

We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic Markov chain. The null hypothesis is that the unknown transition matrix belongs to a prescribed set $P$ of stochastic matrices, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Alhad Sethi , Kavali Sofia Sagar , Shubhada Agrawal , Debabrota Basu , P. N. Karthik

We study detection of random signals corrupted by noise that over time switch their values (states) from a finite set of possible values, where the switchings occur at unknown points in time. We model such signals by means of a random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Dragana Bajović , Kanghang He , Lina Stanković , Dejan Vukobratović , Vladimir Stanković

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

Analysis and synthesis of safety-critical autonomous systems are carried out using models which are often dynamic. Two central features of these dynamic systems are parameters and unmodeled dynamics. This paper addresses the use of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-17 Arnab Sarker , Peter Fisher , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

This paper compiles several aspects of the dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms with Markov iterate-dependent noise when the iterates are not known to be stable beforehand. We achieve the same by extending the lock-in probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Prasenjit Karmakar , Shalabh Bhatnagar
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