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Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Miles E. Lopes , Junwen Yao

We establish a quantitative version of the Tracy--Widom law for the largest eigenvalue of high dimensional sample covariance matrices. To be precise, we show that the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue of a sample covariance matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-21 Kevin Schnelli , Yuanyuan Xu

We consider fitting a bivariate spline regression model to data using a weighted least-squares cost function, with weights that sum to one to form a discrete probability distribution. By applying the principle of maximum entropy, the weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Pierluigi Amodio , Luigi Brugnano , Felice Iavernaro

This article shows that increasing the observation variance at small scales can reduce the ensemble size required to avoid collapse in particle filtering of spatially-extended dynamics and improve the resulting uncertainty quantification at…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms , William Kleiber

Models of physics beyond the Standard Model often contain a large number of parameters. These form a high-dimensional space that is computationally intractable to fully explore. Experimental constraints project onto a subspace of viable…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-01-05 Jacob Hollingsworth , Michael Ratz , Philip Tanedo , Daniel Whiteson

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

Consider the Maximum Weight Independent Set problem for rectangles: given a family of weighted axis-parallel rectangles in the plane, find a maximum-weight subset of non-overlapping rectangles. The problem is notoriously hard both in the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Michał Pilipczuk , Erik Jan van Leeuwen , Andreas Wiese

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

Consider a high-dimensional Wishart matrix $\bd{W}=\bd{X}^T\bd{X}$ where the entries of $\bd{X}$ are i.i.d. random variables with mean zero, variance one, and a finite fourth moment $\eta$. Motivated by problems in signal processing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Tiefeng Jiang , Yongcheng Qi

We consider a generalization of the discrete-time Self Healing Umbrella Sampling method, which is an adaptive importance technique useful to sample multimodal target distributions. The importance function is based on the weights (namely the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

After variable selection, standard inferential procedures for regression parameters may not be uniformly valid; there is no finite-sample size at which a standard test is guaranteed to approximately attain its nominal size. This problem is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Oliver Dukes , Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

Particle filters are a widely used Monte Carlo based data assimilation technique that estimates the probability distribution of a system's state conditioned on observations through a collection of weights and particles. A known problem for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-29 Shay Gilpin , Michael Herty

We propose algorithms for approximate filtering and smoothing in high-dimensional Factorial hidden Markov models. The approximation involves discarding, in a principled way, likelihood factors according to a notion of locality in a factor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Nick Whiteley

Sparse Bayesian factor models are routinely implemented for parsimonious dependence modeling and dimensionality reduction in high-dimensional applications. We provide theoretical understanding of such Bayesian procedures in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Natesh S. Pillai , David Dunson

Rare event probability estimation is an important topic in reliability analysis. Stochastic methods, such as importance sampling, have been developed to estimate such probabilities but they often fail in high dimension. In this paper, we…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-24 Maxime El-Masri , Jérôme Morio , Florian Simatos

We study the effects of a power-law trapping potential on the scaling behaviour of the entanglement at the quantum critical point of one-dimensional (1D) lattice particle systems. We compute bipartite von Neumann and Renyi entropies in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Massimo Campostrini , Ettore Vicari

We consider the following detection problem: given a realization of a symmetric matrix ${\mathbf{X}}$ of dimension $n$, distinguish between the hypothesis that all upper triangular variables are i.i.d. Gaussians variables with mean 0 and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Andrea Montanari , Daniel Reichman , Ofer Zeitouni
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