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Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

A Monte Carlo Renormalization Group algorithm is used on the Ising model to derive critical exponents and the critical temperature. The algorithm is based on a minimum relative entropy iteration developed previously to derive potentials…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 John P. Donohue

Sublinear time algorithms represent a new paradigm in computing, where an algorithm must give some sort of an answer after inspecting only a small portion of the input. The most typical situation where sublinear time algorithms are…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-18 Vladimir Shpilrain

Automatic forecasting is the task of receiving a time series and returning a forecast for the next time steps without any human intervention. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for modeling time series, but so far there are no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

A short review of recent renormalization group analyses of the self-consistence of the Standard Model is presented.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-12-16 Fred Jegerlehner , Mikhail Yu. Kalmykov , Bernd A. Kniehl

We explore the possibilities of using the fermionic functional renormalization group to compute the phase diagram of systems with competing instabilities. In order to overcome the ubiquituous divergences encountered in RG flows, we propose…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-30 M. Ossadnik , C. Honerkamp

While we are usually focused on forecasting future values of time series, it is often valuable to additionally predict their entire probability distributions, e.g. to evaluate risk, Monte Carlo simulations. On example of time series of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Jarek Duda

In this paper a mode of using the Dynamic Renormalization Group (DRG) method is suggested in order to cope with inconsistent results obtained when applying it to a continuous family of one-dimensional nonlocal models. The key observation is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-05 E. Katzav

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making processes across diverse fields including meteorology, traffic, electricity, economics, finance, and so on. Especially, predicting returns on financial instruments is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Yuki Takemoto

We use a renormalization group method, similar to that developed for random spin chains, to infer information about the layouts of cellular wireless networks.

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. V. Simkin , J. Olness

Methods for time series prediction and classification of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) from gene expression data have been treated separately so far. The recent emergence of attention-based recurrent neural networks (RNN) models boosted…

We show that regularizing Bayesian predictive regressions provides a framework for prior sensitivity analysis. We develop a procedure that jointly regularizes expectations and variance-covariance matrices using a pair of shrinkage priors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-15 Guanhao Feng , Nicholas G. Polson

Time series modeling is crucial for many applications, however, it faces challenges such as complex spatio-temporal dependencies and distribution shifts in learning from historical context to predict task-specific outcomes. To address these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Chidaksh Ravuru , Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Venkataramana Runkana

A major advance in density-matrix renormalization group (DMRG) calculations has been achieved by the invention of highly efficient DMRG techniques for the simulation of real-time dynamics of strongly correlated quantum systems in one…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 U. Schollwoeck , S. R. White

We discuss the development of novel deep learning algorithms to enable real-time regression analysis for time series data. We showcase the application of this new method with a timely case study, and then discuss the applicability of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 E. A. Huerta , Daniel George , Zhizhen Zhao , Gabrielle Allen

The susceptibility of deep learning to adversarial attack can be understood in the framework of the Renormalisation Group (RG) and the vulnerability of a specific network may be diagnosed provided the weights in each layer are known. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Richard Kenway

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Time series analysis is relevant in various disciplines such as physics, biology, chemistry, and finance. In this paper, we present a novel neural network architecture that integrates elements from ResNet structures, while introducing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Jarrod Mau , Kevin Moon

A common forecasting setting in real world applications considers a set of possibly heterogeneous time series of the same domain. Due to different properties of each time series such as length, obtaining forecasts for each individual time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-31 Lukas Neubauer , Peter Filzmoser

By following the conventional similarity renormalization group (SRG) expansion of the Dirac equation developed in [J.-Y. Guo, Phys. Rev. C \textbf{85}, 021302 (2012)], we work out the analytic expression of the ${1}/{M^4}$ order and verify…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-05-23 Yixin Guo , Haozhao Liang