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Entropic dynamics, a program that aims at deriving the laws of physics from standard probabilistic and entropic rules for processing information, is developed further. We calculate the probability for an arbitrary path followed by a system…

Classical Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

We formulate a dynamic reinsurance problem in which the insurer seeks to control the terminal distribution of its surplus while minimizing the L2-norm of the ceded risk. Using techniques from martingale optimal transport, we show that,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Beatrice Acciaio , Brandon Garcia Flores , Antonio Marini , Gudmund Pammer

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

This paper is the continuation of "Pricing with coherent risk" and deals with further applications of coherent risk measures to problems of finance. First, we study the optimization problem. Three forms of this problem are considered.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Alexander S. Cherny

In this paper we create a model of particle motion on a three-dimensional lattice using discrete random walk with small steps. We rigorously construct a probability space of the particle trajectories. Unlike deterministic approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Farida Kachapova , Ilias Kachapov

The paper deals with the ruin problem of an insurance company investing its capital reserve in a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a conditional geometric Brownian motion whose parameters depend on a Markov process describing a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We develop a unified valuation theory that incorporates credit risk (defaults), collateralization and funding costs, by expanding the replication approach to a generality that has not yet been studied previously and reaching valuation when…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-01 Damiano Brigo , Cristin Buescu , Marco Francischello , Andrea Pallavicini , Marek Rutkowski

Since Newton's time, deterministic causality has been considered a crucial prerequisite in any fundamental theory in physics. In contrast, the present work investigates stochastic dynamical models for motion in one spatial dimension, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-04 Bing Miao , Hong Qian , Yong-Shi Wu

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

A deterministic system of coupled maps is proposed as a model for economic activity among interacting agents. The values of the maps represent the wealth of the agents. The dynamics of the system is controlled by two parameters. One…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. R. Sanchez , J. Gonzalez-Estevez , R. Lopez-Ruiz , M. G. Cosenza

The question of pricing and hedging a given contingent claim has a unique solution in a complete market framework. When some incompleteness is introduced, the problem becomes however more difficult. Several approaches have been adopted in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-08 Pauline Barrieu , Nicole El Karoui

We study capital requirements for bounded financial positions defined as the minimum amount of capital to invest in a chosen eligible asset targeting a pre-specified acceptability test. We allow for general acceptance sets and general…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-16 Walter Farkas , Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

A decision maker starts from a judgmental decision and moves to the closest boundary of the confidence interval. This statistical decision rule is admissible and does not perform worse than the judgmental decision with a probability equal…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Simone Manganelli

In this paper, we consider an individual-based model with power law mutation probability. In this setting, we use the large population limit with a subsequent ``small mutations'' limit to derive the canonical equation of adaptive dynamics.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-14 Tobias Paul

It is often claimed that the fundamental laws of physics are deterministic and time-symmetric and that therefore our experience of the passage of time is an illusion. This paper will critically discuss these claims and show that they are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-20 Barbara Drossel

We analyze the valuation partial differential equation for European contingent claims in a general framework of stochastic volatility models where the diffusion coefficients may grow faster than linearly and degenerate on the boundaries of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Constantinos Kardaras , Hao Xing

Based on supermodularity ordering properties, we show that convex risk measures of credit losses are nondecreasing w.r.t. credit-credit and, in a wrong-way risk setup, credit-market, covariances of elliptically distributed latent factors.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-09 Dorinel Bastide , Stéphane Crépey

Being based on V. Konoplev's axiomatic approach to continuum mechanics, the paper broadens its frontiers in order to bring together continuum mechanics with classical mechanics in a new theory of mechanical systems. There are derived motion…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-03-29 Al Cheremensky

Dynamical systems with components whose sizes evolve according to multiplicative stochastic rules have been recently combined with entry and exit processes. We show that the assumptions usually made in modeling exits are at odds with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Corrado Di Guilmi , Edoardo Gaffeo , Mauro Gallegati