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In this paper we investigate Gaussian risk models which include financial elements such as inflation and interest rates. For some general models for inflation and interest rates, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the finite-time ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-01 Florian Steiger

The aim of this paper is to solve an optimal investment, consumption and life insurance problem when the investor is restricted to capital guarantee. We consider an incomplete market described by a jump-diffusion model with stochastic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-15 Rodwell Kufakunesu , Calisto Guambe

We study the risk criterion for investments based on the drawdown from the maximal value of the capital in the past. Depending on investor's risk attitude, thus his risk exposure, we find that the distribution of these drawdowns follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

A dynamic model of the social relations between workers and capitalists is introduced. The model is deduced from the assumption that the law of value is an organising principle of modern economies. The model self-organises into a dynamic…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-03-24 Ian Wright

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović

The aim of this paper is to define the market-consistent multi-period value of an insurance liability cash flow in discrete time subject to repeated capital requirements, and explore its properties. In line with current regulatory…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Hampus Engsner , Kristoffer Lindensjö , Filip Lindskog

Exact generalized stochastic representation of deterministic interaction between two dynamical (quantum or classical) systems is derived which helps when considering one of them to replace another by equivalent commutative ($c$-number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

In this paper, we consider a stochastic recursive optimal control problem under model uncertainty. In this framework, the cost function is described by solutions of a family of backward stochastic differential equations. With the help of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Mingshang Hu , Falei Wang

This paper considers general term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We give a general model starting from families of forward rates driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-27 Stefan Tappe , Thorsten Schmidt

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

We adress the maximization problem of expected utility from terminal wealth. The special feature of this paper is that we consider a financial market where the price process of risky assets can have a default time. Using dynamic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-13 Thomas Lim , Marie-Claire Quenez

We numerically solve microscopic deterministic equations of motion for the 2D $\phi^4$ theory with random initial states. Phase ordering dynamics is investigated. Dynamic scaling is found and it is dominated by a fixed point corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 B. Zheng

We propose a new definition for tameness within the model of security prices as It\^o processes that is risk-aware. We give a new definition for arbitrage and characterize it. We then prove a theorem that can be seen as an extension of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaime A. Londoño

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) relates a well-diversified stock portfolio to a benchmark portfolio. We insert size effect in CAPM, capturing the observation that small stocks have higher risk and return than large stocks, on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Abraham Atsiwo , Andrey Sarantsev

We define a Causal Decision Problem as a Decision Problem where the available actions, the family of uncertain events and the set of outcomes are related through the variables of a Causal Graphical Model $\mathcal{G}$. A solution criteria…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-07 M. Gonzalez-Soto , L. E. Sucar , H. J. Escalante

In the past decades, advanced probabilistic methods have had significant impact on the field of finance, both in academia and in the financial industry. Conversely, financial questions have stimulated new research directions in probability.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-01 Hans Föllmer , Alexander Schied

This paper considers the problem of optimal liquidation of a position in a risky security in a financial market, where price evolution are risky and trades have an impact on price as well as uncertainty in the filling orders. The problem is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-16 Xue Cheng , Marina Di Giacinto , Tai-Ho Wang

In this article, we propose a novel characterization of law-invariant and coherent risk measures, based on a generalized optimal transport problem in which the second marginal of the admissible plans is not fixed, but required to lie within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Riccardo Bonalli , Benoît Bonnet-Weill , Laurent Pfeiffer

We put forth the idea that Hamilton's equations coincide with deterministic and reversible evolution. We explore the idea from five different perspectives (mathematics, measurements, thermodynamics, information theory and state mapping) and…

Classical Physics · Physics 2013-08-05 Gabriele Carcassi