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We present an error-diagnostic validation method for posterior distributions in Bayesian signal inference, an advancement of a previous work. It transfers deviations from the correct posterior into characteristic deviations from a uniform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-05 Sebastian Dorn , Niels Oppermann , Torsten A. Enßlin

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

In the paper [Muhammad Aslam Noor, Khalida Inayat Noor, Three-step iterative methods for nonlinear equations, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 183 (2006), pp. 322-327 ], Authors presented an algorithm (\textbf{Algorithm 2.3}) and stated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Laila M Assas , Fayyaz Ahmad , Malik Zaka Ullah

We provide a framework which admits a number of ``marginal'' sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms as particular cases -- including the marginal particle filter [Klaas et al., 2005, in: Proceedings of Uncertainty in Artificial…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

Mechanistic models are essential tools across ecology, epidemiology, and the life sciences, but parameter inference remains challenging when likelihood functions are intractable. Approximate Bayesian Computation with Sequential Monte Carlo…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-27 Mario Castro

Bayesian decision theory provides an elegant framework for acting optimally under uncertainty when tractable posterior distributions are available. Modern Bayesian models, however, typically involve intractable posteriors that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Meet P. Vadera , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng , Benjamin M. Marlin

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

Many modern experiments, such as microarray gene expression and genome-wide association studies, present the problem of estimating a large number of parallel effects. Bayesian inference is a popular approach for analyzing such data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 J G Liao , Arthur Berg , Timothy L McMurry

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods such as Gibbs sampling are finding widespread use in applied statistics and machine learning. These often lead to difficult computational problems, which are increasingly being solved on parallel and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Alexander Terenin , Eric P. Xing

Decentralized distributed optimization over time-varying graphs (networks) is nowadays a very popular branch of research in optimization theory and consensus theory. One of the motivations to consider such networks is an application to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Alexander Rogozin , Alexander Gasnikov

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) serves as a summary of a binary classifier's performance. Methods for estimating the AUC have been developed under a binormality assumption which restricts the distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Zhe Wang , Ryan Martin

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

Paxos is a widely used and notoriously hard to understand method for solving one type of distributed consensus problem. This note provides a quick explanation of Paxos, a novel proof of correctness that is intended to provide insight into…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Victor Yodaiken

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

This is an expository article on the Poisson binomial distribution. We review lesser known results and recent progress on this topic, including geometry of polynomials and distribution learning. We also provide examples to illustrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Wenpin Tang , Fengmin Tang

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh Pillai

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Posterior contractions rates (PCRs) strengthen the notion of Bayesian consistency, quantifying the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of the true model, with probability tending to 1 or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Federico Camerlenghi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

In this paper, we provide some general convergence results for adaptive designs for treatment comparison, both in the absence and presence of covariates. In particular, we demonstrate the almost sure convergence of the treatment allocation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-01 Alessandro Baldi Antognini , Maroussa Zagoraiou

We prove several new results about bounded uniform and small-bias distributions. A main message is that, small-bias, even perturbed with noise, does not fool several classes of tests better than bounded uniformity. We prove this for…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Harm Derksen , Peter Ivanov , Chin Ho Lee , Emanuele Viola