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We study estimation and inference for the mean of real-valued random functions defined on a hypercube. The independent random functions are observed on a discrete, random subset of design points, possibly with heteroscedastic noise. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Omar Kassi , Valentin Patilea

We construct higher order spectral shift functions, extending the perturbation theory results of M. G. Krein and L. S. Koplienko on representations for the remainders of the first and second order Taylor-type approximations of operator…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Ken Dykema , Anna Skripka

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We analyze the ordinal structure of long-range dependent time series. To this end, we use so called ordinal patterns which describe the relative position of consecutive data points. We provide two estimators for the probabilities of ordinal…

Random-effects meta-analyses are very commonly used in medical statistics. Recent methodological developments include multivariate (multiple outcomes) and network (multiple treatments) meta-analysis. Here we provide a new model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz , Martin Law , Richard D Riley , Ian White

Diffusion models have led to significant advancements in generative modelling. Yet their widespread adoption poses challenges regarding data attribution and interpretability. In this paper, we aim to help address such challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Bruno Mlodozeniec , Runa Eschenhagen , Juhan Bae , Alexander Immer , David Krueger , Richard Turner

Parameter estimation in empirical fields is usually undertaken using parametric models, and such models readily facilitate statistical inference. Unfortunately, they are unlikely to be sufficiently flexible to be able to adequately model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Matthew J. Vowels , Sina Akbari , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

We study the problem of designing interval-valued observers that simultaneously estimate the system state and learn an unknown dynamic model for partially unknown nonlinear systems with dynamic unknown inputs and bounded noise signals.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin , Sze Zheng Yong

This paper makes several important contributions to the literature about nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) estimation and inference on a structural function $h_0$ and its functionals. First, we derive sup-norm convergence rates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy M. Christensen

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

Sequential measurements of non-commuting observables produce order effects that are well-known in quantum physics. But their conceptual basis, a significant measurement interaction, is relevant for far more general situations. We argue that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-27 Harald Atmanspacher , Hartmann Roemer

Additive models play an essential role in studying non-linear relationships. Despite many recent advances in estimation, there is a lack of methods and theories for inference in high-dimensional additive models, including confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Zijian Guo , Wei Yuan , Cun-Hui Zhang

Randomized experiments in which the treatment of a unit can affect the outcomes of other units are becoming increasingly common in healthcare, economics, and in the social and information sciences. From a causal inference perspective, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Daniel L. Sussman , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Most work in causal inference considers deterministic interventions that set each unit's treatment to some fixed value. However, under positivity violations these interventions can lead to non-identification, inefficiency, and effects with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-20 Edward H. Kennedy

Non-randomized treatment effect models are widely used for the assessment of treatment effects in various fields and in particular social science disciplines like political science, psychometry, psychology. More specifically, these are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Influence functions efficiently estimate the effect of removing a single training data point on a model's learned parameters. While influence estimates align well with leave-one-out retraining for linear models, recent works have shown this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Juhan Bae , Nathan Ng , Alston Lo , Marzyeh Ghassemi , Roger Grosse

Spin glass models, such as the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick, Hopfield and Ising models, are all well-studied members of the exponential family of discrete distributions, and have been influential in a number of application domains where they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-19 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

Making informed decisions about model adequacy has been an outstanding issue for regression models with discrete outcomes. Standard assessment tools for such outcomes (e.g. deviance residuals) often show a large discrepancy from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Lu Yang

We provide a finite sample inference method for the structural parameters of a semiparametric binary response model under a conditional median restriction originally studied by Manski (1975, 1985). Our inference method is valid for any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Adam M. Rosen , Takuya Ura

A central goal of causal inference is to detect and estimate the treatment effects of a given treatment or intervention on an outcome variable of interest, where a member known as the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) is of growing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Zijun Gao , Yanjun Han