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Null models of binary phylogenetic trees are useful for testing hypotheses on real world phylogenies. In this paper we consider phylogenies as binary trees without edge lengths together with a sampling measure and encode them as algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Josué Nussbaumer , Anita Winter

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

Discrete Markov random fields form a natural class of models to represent images and spatial data sets. The use of such models is, however, hampered by a computationally intractable normalising constant. This makes parameter estimation and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-25 Haakon Michael Austad , Håkon Tjelmeland

We introduce a notion of finite sampling consistency for phylogenetic trees and show that the set of finitely sampling consistent and exchangeable distributions on n leaf phylogenetic trees is a polytope. We use this polytope to show that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Ben Hollering , Seth Sullivant

Structural information of phylogenetic tree topologies plays an important role in phylogenetic inference. However, finding appropriate topological structures for specific phylogenetic inference tasks often requires significant design effort…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-20 Cheng Zhang

We present a computational model to reconstruct trees of ancestors for animals with sexual reproduction. Through a recursive algorithm combined with a random number generator, it is possible to reproduce the number of ancestors for each…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-19 C. Jarne , M. Caruso

For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

The statistical estimation of phylogenies is always associated with uncertainty, and accommodating this uncertainty is an important component of modern phylogenetic comparative analysis. The birth-death polytomy resolver is a method of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

Using backward propagators, we construct inhomogeneous Random Evolutions on Banach spaces driven by (uniformly ergodic) Semi-Markov processes. After studying some of their properties (measurability, continuity, integral representation), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Nelson Vadori , Anatoliy Swishchuk

Tuffley and Steel (1997) proved that Maximum Likelihood and Maximum Parsimony methods in phylogenetics are equivalent for sequences of characters under a simple symmetric model of substitution with no common mechanism. This result has been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-06 Mareike Fischer , Bhalchandra D. Thatte

This article studies the limit of binary search trees drawn from Mallows permutations under various topologies. The main result, pertaining to the standard local topology for graphs, requires the introduction of a generalization of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Benoît Corsini

Binary trait data record the presence or absence of distinguishing traits in individuals. We treat the problem of estimating ancestral trees with time depth from binary trait data. Simple analysis of such data is problematic. Each homology…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-08-31 Geoff K. Nicholls , Russell D. Gray

One of the main aims in phylogenetics is the estimation of ancestral sequences based on present-day data like, for instance, DNA alignments. One way to estimate the data of the last common ancestor of a given set of species is to first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-07 Lina Herbst , Mareike Fischer

The general Markov plus invariable sites (GM+I) model of biological sequence evolution is a two-class model in which an unknown proportion of sites are not allowed to change, while the remainder undergo substitutions according to a Markov…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Several classification methods assume that the underlying distributions follow tree-structured graphical models. Indeed, trees capture statistical dependencies between pairs of variables, which may be crucial to attain low classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-31 Yaniv Tenzer , Amit Moscovich , Mary Frances Dorn , Boaz Nadler , Clifford Spiegelman

Markov combination is an operation that takes two statistical models and produces a third whose marginal distributions include those of the original models. Building upon and extending existing work in the Gaussian case, we develop Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Orlando Marigliano , Eva Riccomagno

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Discovering and characterizing the large-scale topological features in empirical networks are crucial steps in understanding how complex systems function. However, most existing methods used to obtain the modular structure of networks…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-26 Tiago P. Peixoto

We introduce the problem of formally verifying properties of Markov processes where the parameters are given by the output of machine learning models. For a broad class of machine learning models, including linear models, tree-based models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Muhammad Maaz , Timothy C. Y. Chan