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A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

In this paper we obtain a Bernstein type inequality for a class of weakly dependent and bounded random variables. The proofs lead to a moderate deviations principle for sums of bounded random variables with exponential decay of the strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the continuous time interpolation of discrete time recursive stochastic processes. The methods of proof are somewhat different from the corresponding large deviation result, and in particular the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Paul Dupuis , Dane Johnson

This paper is focused on the moderate-deviations analysis of binary hypothesis testing. The analysis relies on a concentration inequality for discrete-parameter martingales with bounded jumps, where this inequality forms a refinement to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

Cram\'er's moderate deviations give a quantitative estimate for the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many estimator used in statistics. In this paper, we establish self-normalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Functionals in geometric probability are often expressed as sums of bounded functions exhibiting exponential stabilization. Methods based on cumulant techniques and exponential modifications of measures show that such functionals satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yu Baryshnikov , P. Eichelsbacher , T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Neha Gupta , Claudio Macci

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

Moderate deviation principle is achieved by the weak convergence approach for a stochastic Schr\"odinger type equation with linear drift term and noise driven by a $Q$-Wiener process. The central limit theorem is also shown for the equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Parisa Fatheddin , Hannelore Lisei

A moderate deviations principle for the law of a stochastic Burgers equation is proved via the weak convergence approach. In addition, some useful estimates toward a central limit theorem are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Rachid Belfadli , Lahcen Boulanba , Mohamed Mellouk

In this paper we study the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems where the slow motion is governed by small fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. We derive conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Solesne Bourguin , Thanh Dang , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

By comparing the original equations with the corresponding stationary ones, the moderate deviation principle (MDP) is established for unbounded additive functionals of several different models of distribution dependent SDEs, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Panpan Ren , Shen Wang

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We establish Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorems for sums of locally dependent random variables and combinatorial central limit theorems. Under some mild exponential moment conditions, optimal error bounds and convergence ranges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Song-Hao Liu , Zhuo-Song Zhang

We analyze the dynamics of moderate fluctuations for macroscopic observables of the random field Curie Weiss model (i.e., standard Curie-Weiss model embedded in a site dependent, i.i.d. random environment). We obtain path space large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Francesca Collet , Richard C. Kraaij

We apply Lindeberg's method, invented to prove a central limit theorem, to analyze the moderate deviations around such a central limit theorem. In particular, we will show moderate deviation principles for martingales as well as for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe