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In 1980 and 1981, two pioneering papers laid the foundation for what became known as nonlinear time-series analysis: the analysis of observed data---typically univariate---via dynamical systems theory. Based on the concept of state-space…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-24 Elizabeth Bradley , Holger Kantz

A central goal in social science is to evaluate the causal effect of a policy. One dominant approach is through panel data analysis in which the behaviors of multiple units are observed over time. The information across time and space…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-11 Dennis Shen , Peng Ding , Jasjeet Sekhon , Bin Yu

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

Nonlinear mixed effects models have become a standard platform for analysis when data is in the form of continuous and repeated measurements of subjects from a population of interest, while temporal profiles of subjects commonly follow a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Se Yoon Lee

The aim of this paper, triggered by some discussions in the astrophysics community raised by astro-ph/0508529, is to introduce the issue of `fits' from a probabilistic perspective (also known as Bayesian), with special attention to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

In a recent paper in this journal [J. Stat. Mech. (2009) P02037] we proposed a new, physically motivated, distribution function for modeling individual incomes having its roots in the framework of the k-generalized statistical mechanics.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-07 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati , G. Kaniadakis

Linear processes on functional spaces were born about fifteen years ago. And this original topic went through the same fast development as the other areas of functional data modeling such as PCA or regression. They aim at generalizing to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 André Mas , Besnik Pumo

Control for confounders in observational studies was generally handled through stratification and standardization until the 1960s. Standardization typically reweights the stratum-specific rates so that exposure categories become comparable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Niels Keiding , David Clayton

Bayes [Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. 53 (1763) 370--418; 54 296--325] introduced the observed likelihood function to statistical inference and provided a weight function to calibrate the parameter; he also introduced a confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-26 D. A. S. Fraser

The scientific study of the retina has reached a remarkable state of completion. We can now explain many aspects of early visual processing based on a relatively simple model of neural circuitry in the retina. The same model, with different…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-22 Markus Meister

Statistical hypothesis testing, as formalized by 20th Century statisticians and taught in college statistics courses, has been a cornerstone of 100 years of scientific progress. Nevertheless, the methodology is increasingly questioned in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Brian Dennis , Mark L Taper , José M Ponciano

Fisheries scientists use regression models to estimate population quantities, such as biomass or abundance, for use in climate, habitat, stock, and ecosystem assessments. However, these models are sensitive to the chosen probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Jillian C. Dunic , Jason Conner , Sean C. Anderson , James T. Thorson

The sample selection bias problem arises when a variable of interest is correlated with a latent variable, and involves situations in which the response variable had part of its observations censored. Heckman (1976) proposed a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Shayane S. Cordeiro

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

Ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression is one of the most basic statistical techniques for data analysis. In the main stream literature and the statistical education, the study of linear regression is typically restricted to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Modeling the evolution of a financial index as a stochastic process is a problem awaiting a full, satisfactory solution since it was first formulated by Bachelier in 1900. Here it is shown that the scaling with time of the return…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

We study partially linear models when the outcome of interest and some of the covariates are observed in two different datasets that cannot be linked. This type of data combination problem arises very frequently in empirical microeconomics.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

Nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, especially in finance risk measure and management.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-15 Lu Lin , Yufeng Shi , Xin Wang , Shuzhen Yang

Generalized models provide a framework for the study of evolution equations without specifying all functional forms. The generalized formulation of problems has been shown to facilitate the analytical investigation of local dynamics and has…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Christian Kuehn , Stefan Siegmund , Thilo Gross