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Using high frequency data, we have studied empirically the change of volatility, also called volatility derivative, for various time horizons. In particular, the correlation between the volatility derivative and the volatility realized in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Gilles Zumbach , Paul Lynch

The importance of considering the volumes to analyze stock prices movements can be considered as a well-accepted practice in the financial area. However, when we look at the scientific production in this field, we still cannot find a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Tiago Colliri , Fernando F. Ferreira

When sampling multiple signals, the correlation between the signals can be exploited to reduce the overall number of samples. In this paper, we study the sampling theory of multiple correlated signals, using correlation to sample them at…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Zhongyi Ni , Feng Ji , Hang Sheng , Hui Feng , Bo Hu

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

We present a method for detection of weak continuous signals from sources in binary systems via the incoherent combination of many "short" coherently-analyzed segments. The main focus of the work is on the construction of a metric on the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-30 Chris Messenger

Markets efficiency implies that the stock returns are intrinsically unpredictable, a property that makes markets comparable to random number generators. We present a novel methodology to investigate ultra-high frequency financial data and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Silvia Onofri , Andrey Shternshis , Stefano Marmi

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

We characterize structures such as monotonicity, convexity, and modality in smooth regression curves using persistent homology. Persistent homology is a key tool in topological data analysis that detects higher-dimensional topological…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Satish Kumar , Subhra Sankar Dhar

A method is presented for analysing over-determined sets of clock frequency comparison data involving standards based on a number of different reference transitions. This least-squares adjustment procedure, which is based on the method used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-30 H. S. Margolis , P. Gill

Computational topology has recently known an important development toward data analysis, giving birth to the field of topological data analysis. Topological persistence, or persistent homology, appears as a fundamental tool in this field.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Frédéric Chazal , Marc Glisse , Catherine Labruère , Bertrand Michel

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

We introduce a novel ensemble approach for feature selection based on hierarchical stacking for non-stationarity and/or a limited number of samples with a large number of features. Our approach exploits the co-dependency between features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Aysin Tumay , Mustafa E. Aydin , Ali T. Koc , Suleyman S. Kozat

Anomalies (unusual patterns) in time-series data give essential, and often actionable information in critical situations. Examples can be found in such fields as healthcare, intrusion detection, finance, security and flight safety. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-17 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladislav Ishimtsev

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Topological data analysis is becoming increasingly relevant to support the analysis of unstructured data sets. A common assumption in data analysis is that the data set is a sample---not necessarily a uniform one---of some high-dimensional…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Bastian Rieck , Markus Banagl , Filip Sadlo , Heike Leitte

We propose to homogenize a periodic (along one direction) structure, first in order to verify the quasi-static prediction of its response to an acoustic wave arising from mixing theory, then to address the question of what becomes of this…

Applied Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 Armand Wirgin

Stock networks, constructed from stock price time series, are a well-established tool for the characterization of complex behavior in stock markets. Following Mantegna's seminal paper, the linear Pearson's correlation coefficient between…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-27 David Hartman , Jaroslav Hlinka

The predictions of mean-field electrodynamics can now be probed using direct numerical simulations of random flows and magnetic fields. When modelling astrophysical MHD, it is important to verify that such simulations are in agreement with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-09-12 Irina Makarenko , Paul Bushby , Andrew Fletcher , Robin Henderson , Nikolay Makarenko , Anvar Shukurov

The paper discusses the relationships between electrical and affine differential geometry quantities, establishing a link between frequency and time derivatives of voltage, through the utilization of affine geometric invariants. Based on…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Ali Alshawabkeh , Georgios Tzounas , Angel Molina-Garcia , Federico Milano