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In many hypothesis testing applications, we have mixed priors, with well-motivated informative priors for some parameters but not for others. The Bayesian methodology uses the Bayes factor and is helpful for the informative priors, as it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-05 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

In Bayesian statistics the precise point-null hypothesis $\theta=\theta_0$ can be tested by checking whether $\theta_0$ is contained in a credible set. This permits testing of $\theta=\theta_0$ without having to put prior probabilities on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

Power priors are used for incorporating historical data in Bayesian analyses by taking the likelihood of the historical data raised to the power $\alpha$ as the prior distribution for the model parameters. The power parameter $\alpha$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We revisit the problem of simultaneously testing the means of $n$ independent normal observations under sparsity. We take a Bayesian approach to this problem by introducing a scale-mixture prior known as the normal-beta prime (NBP) prior.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-29 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

Bivariate count models having one marginal and the other conditionals being of the Poissons form are called pseudo-Poisson distributions. Such models have simple exible dependence structures, possess fast computation algorithms and generate…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-08 Banoth Veeranna , B. G. Manjunath , B. Shobha

Negative probabilities arise primarily in physics, statistical quantum mechanics and quantum computing. Negative probabilities arise as mixing distributions of unobserved latent variables in Bayesian modeling. Our goal is to provide a link…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-06 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

In this paper we revisit the binary hypothesis testing problem with one-sided compression. Specifically we assume that the distribution in the null hypothesis is a mixture distribution of iid components. The distribution under the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Minh Thanh Vu

The probability of default (PD) estimation is an important process for financial institutions. The difficulty of the estimation depends on the correlations between borrowers. In this paper, we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-19 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

A recently developed technique for the determination of the density of partition function zeroes using data coming from finite-size systems is extended to deal with cases where the zeroes are not restricted to a curve in the complex plane…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 W. Janke , D. A. Johnston , R. Kenna

A new computation method of frequentist $p$-values and Bayesian posterior probabilities based on the bootstrap probability is discussed for the multivariate normal model with unknown expectation parameter vector. The null hypothesis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

We study distribution testing without direct access to a source of relevant data, but rather to one where only a tiny fraction is relevant. To enable this, we introduce the following verification query model. The goal is to perform a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Hadley Black , Christopher Ye

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

Given a random sample of observations, mixtures of normal densities are often used to estimate the unknown continuous distribution from which the data come. Here we propose the use of this semiparametric framework for testing symmetry about…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-23 Silvia Bacci , Francesco Bartolucci

We propose a flexible and identifiable version of the two-groups model, motivated by hierarchical Bayes considerations, that features an empirical null and a semiparametric mixture model for the non-null cases. We use a computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

We developed a statistical theory of zero-count-detector (ZCD), which is defined as a zero-class Poisson under conditions outlined in the paper. ZCD is often encountered in the studies of rare events in physics, health physics, and many…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-30 Thomas M. Semkow

The energy test method is a multi-dimensional test of whether two samples are consistent with arising from the same underlying population, through the calculation of a single test statistic (called the $T$-value). The method has recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-19 W. Barter , C. Burr , C. Parkes

This paper extends the work of Clarke [1] on the Bayesian foundations of the biomagnetic inverse problem. It derives expressions for the expectation and variance of the a posteriori source current probability distribution given a prior…

Medical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Hasson , S. J. Swithenby
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