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An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

Construction of tight confidence regions and intervals is central to statistical inference and decision making. This paper develops new theory showing minimum average volume confidence regions for categorical data. More precisely, consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-01 Matthew L. Malloy , Ardhendu Tripathy , Robert D. Nowak

We describe a general method for the construction of a confidence region for the two parameters of the Negative Binomial Distribution. This is achieved by expanding the sampling distribution of Method-of-Moments estimators, using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Emmanuel Nkingi , Jan Vrbik

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper considers the distributed computation of confidence regions tethered to multidimensional parameter estimation under linear measurement models. In particular, the considered confidence regions are non-asymptotic, this meaning that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Vincenzo Zambianchi , Michel Kieffer , Gianni Pasolini , Francesca Bassi , Davide Dardari

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

We introduce a new framework for creating point-wise confidence intervals for the distribution of event times for current status data. Existing methods are based on asymptotics. Our framework is based on binomial properties and motivates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Sungwook Kim , Michael P. Fay , Michael A. Proschan

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

We develop large sample theory including nonparametric confidence regions for $r$-dimensional ridges of probability density functions on $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $1\leq r<d$. We view ridges as the intersections of level sets of some special…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Wanli Qiao

This paper studies and critically discusses the construction of nonparametric confidence regions for density level sets. Methodologies based on both vertical variation and horizontal variation are considered. The investigations provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Wanli Qiao , Wolfgang Polonik

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

The asymptotic results pertaining to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio allow for the creation of a confidence region, which is a general extension of the confidence interval. Two and three dimensional regions can be displayed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Adam Jaeger

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

Confidence intervals are central to statistical inference as a tool to evaluate the type I error risk at a given significance level. We devise a method to construct confidence intervals using a single run of a permutation test. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

We derive non-asymptotic confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependence structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric bounded distribution, and we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini
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