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We study the spread of stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemics in two types of structured populations, both consisting of schools and households. In each of the types, every individual is part of one school…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-23 Tanneke Ouboter , Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

We study a generalized branching random walk where particles breed at a rate which depends on the number of neighboring particles. Under general assumptions on the breeding rates we prove the existence of a phase where the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniela Bertacchi , Gustavo Posta , Fabio Zucca

By decomposing the random walk path, we construct a multitype branching process with immigration in random environment for corresponding random walk with bounded jumps in random environment. Then we give two applications of the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Wenming Hong , Huaming Wang

We aim to understand the evolution of the genetic composition of cancer cell populations. To achieve this, we consider an individual-based model representing a cell population where cells divide, die and mutate along the edges of a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Vianney Brouard

We consider the time evolution of the supercritical Galton-Watson model of branching particles with extra parameter (mass). In the moment of the division the mass of the particle (which is growing linearly after the birth) is divided in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Gregory Derfel , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov

We consider a system of $N$ particles on the real line that evolves through iteration of the following steps: 1) every particle splits into two, 2) each particle jumps according to a prescribed displacement distribution supported on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Jean Bérard , Pascal Maillard

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

In exponentially proliferating populations of microbes, the population typically doubles at a rate less than the average doubling time of a single-cell due to variability at the single-cell level. It is known that the distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Ethan Levien , Trevor GrandPre , Ariel Amir

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

Single virus epidemics over complete networks are widely explored in the literature as the fraction of infected nodes is, under appropriate microscopic modeling of the virus infection, a Markov process. With non-complete networks, this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-07-01 Augusto Santos , José M. F. Moura , João Xavier

This paper presents a law of large numbers result, as the size of the population tends to infinity, of SIR stochastic epidemic models, for a population distributed over $L$ distinct patches (with migrations between them) and $K$ distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Raphaël Forien , Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

Using a population dynamics inspired by an ensemble of growing cells, a set of fluctuation theorems linking observables measured at the lineage and population levels are derived. One of these relations implies specific inequalities…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 Reinaldo García-García , Arthur Genthon , David Lacoste

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

The forest of mutations associated to a multitype branching forest is obtained by merging together all vertices of its clusters and by preserving connections between them. We first show that the forest of mutations of any mulitype branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Loïc Chaumont , Thi Ngoc Anh Nguyen

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

Multiple-type branching processes that model the spread of infectious diseases are investigated. In these stochastic processes, the disease goes through multiple stages before it eventually disappears. We mostly focus on the critical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi
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