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In physics and engineering literature, the distribution of the excursion time of a stationary Gaussian process has been approximated through a method based on a stationary switch process with independently distributed switching times. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

This work is to popularize the method of computing the distribution of the excursion times for a Gaussian process that involves extended and multivariate Rice's formula. The approach was used in numerical implementations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Georg Lindgren , Krzysztof Podgorski , Igor Rychlik

We introduce the concept of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n \Delta T. For a Gaussian Markov process with relaxation rate \mu, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray , George C. M. A. Ehrhardt

In applications spaning from image analysis and speech recognition, to energy dissipation in turbulence and time-to failure of fatigued materials, researchers and engineers want to calculate how often a stochastic observable crosses a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-21 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana , Tobias Ambjörnsson

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

The independent interval approximation of the excursion time distributions for Gaussian processes has been used in physics and engineering. A new but related approach matches the expected value of the clipped Slepian to the expected value…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

We study the distribution of persistent sites (sites unvisited by particles $A$) in one dimensional $A+A\to\emptyset$ reaction-diffusion model. We define the {\it empty intervals} as the separations between adjacent persistent sites, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Manoj , P. Ray

This paper presents a synthesis on the mathematical work done on level crossings of stationary Gaussian processes, with some extensions. The main results [(factorial) moments, representation into the Wiener Chaos, asymptotic results, rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marie F. Kratz

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Persistence, defined as the probability that a fluctuating signal has not reached a threshold up to a given observation time, plays a crucial role in the theory of random processes. It quantifies the kinetics of processes as varied as phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-12 N. Levernier , T. V. Mendes , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

We present a general scheme to calculate within the independent interval approximation generalized (level-dependent) persistence properties for processes having a finite density of zero-crossings. Our results are especially relevant for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ivan Dornic , Anaël Lemaître , Andrea Baldassarri , Hugues Chaté

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann
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