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Fluctuations in the occurrence of large, disastrous earthquakes are important for the study of deviations from the regular behavior of earthquakes. In this study, to assist in our understanding of the irregular behavior of earthquake…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-18 Tetsuya Mitsudo , Naoyuki Kato

We introduce a simple model for the size distribution of avalanches based on the idea that the front of an avalanche can be described by a directed random walk. The model captures some of the qualitative features of earthquakes, avalanches…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Jonsson , J. F. Wheater

We investigate the relevance of {\sl self-organized criticality (SOC)} models in previously published empirical datasets, which includes statistical observations in astrophysics, geophysics, biophysics, sociophysics, and informatics. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-05 Markus J. Aschwanden , Felix Scholkmann

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

Dynamical systems in nature exhibit selfsimilar fractal fluctuations and the corresponding power spectra follow inverse power law form signifying long-range space-time correlations identified as self-organized criticality. The physics of…

General Physics · Physics 2008-05-23 A. M. Selvam

Models of faults incorporating slip rate- and state-dependent friction have reproduced phenomena from spontaneous slow, aseismic slip to earthquake-generating dynamic rupture. Numerical explorations of model parameter space regularly show…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-26 Robert C. Viesca , Dmitry I. Garagash

Rotational constraint representing a local external bias generally has non-trivial effect on the critical behavior of lattice statistical models in equilibrium critical phenomena. In order to study the effect of rotational bias in a out of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 S. B. Santra , S. Ranjita Chanu , D. Deb

The spatial coverage produced by a single discrete-time random walk, with asymmetric jump probability $p\neq 1/2$ and non-uniform steps, moving on an infinite one-dimensional lattice is investigated. Analytical calculations are complemented…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 C. Anteneodo , W. A. M. Morgado

Seismological and geodetic observations of fault zones reveal diverse slip dynamics, scaling, and statistical laws. Existing mechanisms explain some but not all of these behaviors. We show that incorporating an off-fault damage…

We present a simple model of earthquakes on a pre-existing hierarchical fault network. The system self-organizes on long time scales in a stationary state with a power law Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake sizes. The largest…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Y. Huang , H. Saleur , C. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

We make an extensive numerical study of a two dimensional nonconservative model proposed by Olami-Feder-Christensen to describe earthquake behavior. By analyzing the distribution of earthquake sizes using a multiscaling method, we find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski

We study a continuous time branching process where an individual splits into two daughters with rate b and dies with rate a, starting from a single individual at t=0. We show that the model can be mapped exactly to a random walk problem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-13 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

In order to clarify how the statistical properties of earthquakes depend on the constitutive law characterizing the stick-slip dynamics, we make an extensive numerical simulation of the one-dimensional spring-block model with the rate- and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Akio Ohmura , Hikaru Kawamura

The distribution of return intervals of extreme events is studied in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it has been analyzed the statistics of the return intervals of extreme values…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Cecilia Pennetta

We introduce a generalized homogeneous function to describe the joint probability density for magnitude and duration of events in self-organized critical systems (SOC). It follows that the cumulative distributions of magnitude and of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Feder , H. Nordhagen , W. A. Watters

We propose a new version of the ETAS model, which we also analyze theoretically. As for the standard ETAS model, we assume the Gutenberg-Richter law as a probability density function for background events' magnitude. Instead, the magnitude…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

We study extreme events in a finite-size 2D Abelian sandpile model, specifically focusing on avalanche area and size. Employing the approach of Block Maxima, the study numerically reveals that the rescaled distributions for the largest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-10 Abdul Quadir , Haider Hasan Jafri

In the prototype sandpile model of self-organized criticality time series obtained by decomposing avalanches into waves of toppling show intermittent fluctuations. The q-th moments of wave size differences possess local multiscaling and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Mario De Menech , Attilio L. Stella

Consider a critical random multigraph $\mathcal{G}_n$ with $n$ vertices constructed by the configuration model such that its vertex degrees are independent random variables with the same distribution $\nu$ (criticality means that the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Adrien Joseph

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion