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This paper considers the portfolio management problem of optimal investment, consumption and life insurance. We are concerned with time inconsistency of optimal strategies. Natural assumptions, like different discount rates for consumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-25 Ivar Ekeland , Oumar Mbodji , Traian A. Pirvu

We present a method for constructing the log-optimal portfolio using the well-calibrated forecasts of market values. Dawid's notion of calibration and the Blackwell approachability theorem are used for computing well-calibrated forecasts.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Vladimir V'yugin

This paper is focused on the optimization approach to the solution of inverse problems. We introduce a stochastic dynamical system in which the parameter-to-data map is embedded, with the goal of employing techniques from nonlinear Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Assume (1) asset returns follow a stochastic multi-factor process with time-varying conditional expectations; (2) investments are linear functions of factors. This paper calculates asymptotic joint moments of the logarithm of investor's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Vladislav Kargin

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

In this article, we study optimal investment and consumption in an incomplete stochastic factor model for a power utility investor on the infinite horizon. When the state space of the stochastic factor is finite, we give a complete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Florian Gutekunst , Martin Herdegen , David Hobson

In this paper we derive the exact solution of the multi-period portfolio choice problem for an exponential utility function under return predictability. It is assumed that the asset returns depend on predictable variables and that the joint…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

In this work, we state a general conjecture on the solvability of optimization problems via algorithms with linear convergence guarantees. We make a first step towards examining its correctness by fully characterizing the problems that are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Foivos Alimisis

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem with general utility functions and when the return and volatility of underlying asset are slowly varying. An asymptotic optimal strategy is provided within a specific class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

The aim of this paper is to solve an optimal investment, consumption and life insurance problem when the investor is restricted to capital guarantee. We consider an incomplete market described by a jump-diffusion model with stochastic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-15 Rodwell Kufakunesu , Calisto Guambe

Have you ever felt miserable because of a sudden whipsaw in the price that triggered an unfortunate trade? In an attempt to remove this noise, technical analysts have used various types of moving averages (simple, exponential, adaptive one…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Eric Benhamou

Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

We consider a long-term optimal investment problem where an investor tries to minimize the probability of falling below a target growth rate. From a mathematical viewpoint, this is a large deviation control problem. This problem will be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hiroaki Hata , Hideo Nagai , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

We consider an optimal investment and consumption problem for a Black-Scholes financial market with stochastic volatility and unknown stock appreciation rate. The volatility parameter is driven by an external economic factor modeled as a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-15 Belkacem Berdjane , Sergei Pergamenshchikov

For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Shubhangi Sikaria , Rituparna Sen , Neelesh S. Upadhye

In this paper, we consider a financial market with assets exposed to some risks inducing jumps in the asset prices, and which can still be traded after default times. We use a default-intensity modeling approach, and address in this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-21 Thomas Lim , Marie-Claire Quenez

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

In this paper we consider a discrete-time risk sensitive portfolio optimization over a long time horizon with proportional transaction costs. We show that within the log-return i.i.d. framework the solution to a suitable Bellman equation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner