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Bayesian analysis is a framework for parameter estimation that applies even in uncertainty regimes where the commonly used local (frequentist) analysis based on the Cram\'er-Rao bound is not well defined. In particular, it applies when no…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Simon Morelli , Ayaka Usui , Elizabeth Agudelo , Nicolai Friis

This paper explores Bayesian lower bounds on the minimum mean squared error (MMSE) that belong to the Ziv-Zakai (ZZ) family. The ZZ technique relies on connecting the bound to an M-ary hypothesis testing problem. Three versions of the ZZ…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Minoh Jeong , Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone

We consider the task of estimating a low-rank matrix from non-linear and noisy observations. We prove a strong universality result showing that Bayes-optimal performances are characterized by an equivalent Gaussian model with an effective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Pierre Mergny , Justin Ko , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

The widely used quantum Cramer-Rao bound (QCRB) sets a lower bound for the mean square error of unbiased estimators in quantum parameter estimation, however, in general QCRB is only tight in the asymptotical limit. With a limited number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-07 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

We consider the problem of learning a dictionary matrix from a number of observed signals, which are assumed to be generated via a linear model with a common underlying dictionary. In particular, we derive lower bounds on the minimum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Alexander Jung , Yonina C. Eldar , Norbert Görtz

This work studies an information-theoretic performance limit of an integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) system where the goal of sensing is to estimate a random continuous state. Considering the mean-squared error (MSE) for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Daewon Seo

In the last two decades, several methods based on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) have been proposed for Bayesian identification of stochastic non-linear state-space models (SSMs). It is well known that the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-25 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

Threshold and ambiguity phenomena are studied in Part 1 of this work where approximations for the mean-squared-error (MSE) of the maximum likelihood estimator are proposed using the method of interval estimation (MIE), and where approximate…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Achraf Mallat , Sinan Gezici , Davide Dardari , Luc Vandendorpe

In this paper, we study error bounds for {\em Bayesian quadrature} (BQ), with an emphasis on noisy settings, randomized algorithms, and average-case performance measures. We seek to approximate the integral of functions in a {\em…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-13 Xu Cai , Chi Thanh Lam , Jonathan Scarlett

We propose a statistical framework for the problem of parameter estimation from a noisy optomechanical system. The Cram\'er-Rao lower bound on the estimation errors in the long-time limit is derived and compared with the errors of…

Optics · Physics 2013-10-31 Shan Zheng Ang , Glen I. Harris , Warwick P. Bowen , Mankei Tsang

We analyze the best achievable performance of Bayesian learning under generative models by defining and upper-bounding the minimum excess risk (MER): the gap between the minimum expected loss attainable by learning from data and the minimum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

Minimax lower bounds are pessimistic in nature: for any given estimator, minimax lower bounds yield the existence of a worst-case target vector $\beta^*_{worst}$ for which the prediction error of the given estimator is bounded from below.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Pierre C Bellec

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

In this work, we study the problem of distributed mean estimation with $1$-bit communication constraints when the variance is unknown. We focus on the specific case where each user has access to one i.i.d. sample drawn from a distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Ritesh Kumar , Shashank Vatedka

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a Gaussian random vector when the mean vector is assumed to be in a given convex set. The most natural solution is to take the Euclidean projection of the data vector on to this convex set; in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee

The problem of estimating an arbitrary random vector from its observation corrupted by additive white Gaussian noise, where the cost function is taken to be the Minimum Mean $p$-th Error (MMPE), is considered. The classical Minimum Mean…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-07 Alex Dytso , Ronit Bustin , Daniela Tuninetti , Natasha Devroye , H. Vincent Poor , Shlomo Shamai

This paper presents a Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) for the estimation of parameters confined to an arbitrary set. Unlike existing results that rely on equality or inequality constraints, manifold structures, or the nonsingularity of the Fisher…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-28 Heedong Do , Angel Lozano

In this article we have suggested an improved estimator for estimating the population mean in simple random sampling using auxiliary information under the presence of measurement errors. The mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimator…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-05 Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh