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A statistical system is classically defined on a set of microstates $E$ by a global energy function $H : E \to \mathbb{R}$, yielding Gibbs probability measures (softmins) $\rho^\beta(H)$ for every inverse temperature $\beta = T^{-1}$. Gibbs…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-05 Olivier Peltre

This paper provides the basis for new methods of inference for max-stable processes \xi\ on general spaces that admit a certain incremental representation, which, in important cases, has a much simpler structure than the max-stable process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-12 Sebastian Engelke , Alexander Malinowski , Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Daira Velandia

In a regular full exponential family, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) need not exist in the traditional sense. However, the MLE may exist in the completion of the exponential family. Existing algorithms for finding the MLE in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Daniel J. Eck , Charles J. Geyer

A well-known result across information theory, machine learning, and statistical physics shows that the maximum entropy distribution under a mean constraint has an exponential form called the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution. This is used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Amir R. Asadi , Emmanuel Abbe

We derive explicit lower and upper bounds for the probability generating functional of a stationary locally stable Gibbs point process, which can be applied to summary statistics like the F function. For pairwise interaction processes we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Kaspar Stucki , Dominic Schuhmacher

We introduce a new estimator SMUCE (simultaneous multiscale change-point estimator) for the change-point problem in exponential family regression. An unknown step function is estimated by minimizing the number of change-points over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Klaus Frick , Axel Munk , Hannes Sieling

A new qubit tomography protocol is introduced, based on a continuous positive operator valued measure, which is supported by the set of pure states, and equivariant under the symmetry group SO(3,R) of the qubit state space. Thus the sample…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-03-14 Tamás Tasnádi

We propose a method to derive the stationary size distributions of a system, and the degree distributions of networks, using maximisation of the Gibbs-Shannon entropy. We apply this to a preferential attachment-type algorithm for systems of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-17 Cornelia Metzig , Caroline Colijn

Probabilistic models can be defined by an energy function, where the probability of each state is proportional to the exponential of the state's negative energy. This paper considers a generalization of energy-based models in which the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-25 Jan Humplik , Gašper Tkačik

The growing availability of network data and of scientific interest in distributed systems has led to the rapid development of statistical models of network structure. Typically, however, these are models for the entire network, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Alessandro Rinaldo

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

In this paper, we present a maximum likelihood estimation approach to determine the value vector in transformer models. We model the sequence of value vectors, key vectors, and the query vector as a sequence of Gaussian distributions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Jiyong Ma

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

We consider a doubly stochastic Poisson process with stochastic intensity $\lambda_t =n q\left(X_t\right)$ where $X$ is a continuous It\^o semimartingale and $n$ is an integer. Both processes are observed continuously over a fixed period…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Thomas Deschatre

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is routinely used for the maximum likelihood estimation in the latent class analysis. However, the EM algorithm comes with no guarantees of reaching the global optimum. We study the geometry of…

The maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions, where the derivative of the log-likelihood function is zero, over the complex field. This paper examines the maximum likelihood degree of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

We investigate penalized maximum log-likelihood estimation for exponential family distributions whose natural parameter resides in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Key to our approach is a novel technique, doubly dual embedding, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Bo Dai , Hanjun Dai , Arthur Gretton , Le Song , Dale Schuurmans , Niao He

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen
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