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Time series that display periodicity can be described with a Fourier expansion. In a similar vein, a recently developed formalism enables description of growth patterns with the optimal number of parameters (Elitzur et al, 2020). The method…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Moshe Elitzur

We study trend filtering, a recently proposed tool of Kim et al. [SIAM Rev. 51 (2009) 339-360] for nonparametric regression. The trend filtering estimate is defined as the minimizer of a penalized least squares criterion, in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Ryan J. Tibshirani

Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) statistics play a central role in many applications. A common situation where SNR is studied is when a continuous time signal is sampled at a fixed frequency with some noise in the background. While estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Francesco Giordano , Pietro Coretto

Anomalies (unusual patterns) in time-series data give essential, and often actionable information in critical situations. Examples can be found in such fields as healthcare, intrusion detection, finance, security and flight safety. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-17 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladislav Ishimtsev

We propose TrendSegment, a methodology for detecting multiple change-points corresponding to linear trend changes in one dimensional data. A core ingredient of TrendSegment is a new Tail-Greedy Unbalanced Wavelet transform: a conditionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Hyeyoung Maeng , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Supervised topic models simultaneously model the latent topic structure of large collections of documents and a response variable associated with each document. Existing inference methods are based on variational approximation or Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-22 Yong Ren , Yining Wang , Jun Zhu

In a previous paper (Varadi et al., 1999), Random Lag Singular Spectrum Analysis was offered as a tool to find oscillations in very noisy and long time series. This work presents a generalization of the technique to search for common…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 F. Varadi , R. K. Ulrich , L. Bertello , C. J. Henney

In the context of sentiment analysis, there has been growing interest in performing a finer granularity analysis focusing on the specific aspects of the entities being evaluated. This is the goal of Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis (ABSA)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Danny Suarez Vargas , Lucas R. C. Pessutto , Viviane Pereira Moreira

In tackling frequent batch anomalies in high-speed stamping processes, this study introduces a novel semi-supervised in-process anomaly monitoring framework, utilizing accelerometer signals and physics information, to capture the process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Jianyu Zhang

The average spectrum method is a promising approach for the analytic continuation of imaginary time or frequency data to the real axis. It determines the analytic continuation of noisy data from a functional average over all admissible…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2020-02-14 Khaldoon Ghanem , Erik Koch

The ability to order outcomes is necessary to make comparisons which is complicated when there is no natural ordering on the space of outcomes, as in the case of functional outcomes. This paper examines methods for extracting a scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Lanqiu Yao , Thaddeus Tarpey

This paper proposed a method for stock prediction. In terms of feature extraction, we extract the features of stock-related news besides stock prices. We first select some seed words based on experience which are the symbols of good news…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-25 Zeya Zhang , Weizheng Chen , Hongfei Yan

Thanks to the rise of wearable and connected devices, sensor-generated time series comprise a large and growing fraction of the world's data. Unfortunately, extracting value from this data can be challenging, since sensors report low-level…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-30 Davis W. Blalock , John V. Guttag

Time series analysis is fundamental to characterizing the variability inherent in multi-wavelength emissions from blazars. However, a major observational challenge lies in the need for well-sampled, temporally uniform data, which is often…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-10-23 P. Peñil , N. Torres-Albà , A. Rico , S. Buson , M. Ajello , A. Domínguez , S. Adhikari

Anomaly detection is essential for identifying rare and significant events across diverse domains such as finance, cybersecurity, and network monitoring. This paper presents Synthetic Anomaly Monitoring (SAM), an innovative approach that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Emanuele Luzio , Moacir Antonelli Ponti

This paper studies the control-oriented identification problem of set-valued moving average systems with uniform persistent excitations and observation noises. A stochastic approximation-based (SA-based) algorithm without projections or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Jieming Ke , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

Anomalies in time-series data give essential and often actionable information in many applications. In this paper we consider a model-free anomaly detection method for univariate time-series which adapts to non-stationarity in the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-13 Vladislav Ishimtsev , Ivan Nazarov , Alexander Bernstein , Evgeny Burnaev

A recently discovered universal rank-based matrix method to extract trends from noisy time series is described in [1] but the formula for the output matrix elements, implemented there as an open-access supplement MATLAB computer code, is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-24 D. J. Kestner , G. R. Ierley , A. B. Kostinski

Accurate, precise, and computationally efficient removal of unwanted activity that exists as a combination of periodic, quasi-periodic, and non-periodic systematic trends in time-series photometric data is a critical step in exoplanet…

We present a novel, simple and widely applicable semi-supervised procedure for anomaly detection in industrial and IoT environments, SAnD (Simple Anomaly Detection). SAnD comprises 5 steps, each leveraging well-known statistical tools,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Simone Tonini , Andrea Vandin , Francesca Chiaromonte , Daniele Licari , Fernando Barsacchi