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We investigate sampling laws for particle algorithms and the influence of these laws on the efficiency of particle approximations of marginal likelihoods in hidden Markov models. Among a broad class of candidates we characterize the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-21 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

Using a calculus of variations approach, we determine the shape of a typical plane partition in a large box (i.e., a plane partition chosen at random according to the uniform distribution on all plane partitions whose solid Young diagrams…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Henry Cohn , Michael Larsen , James Propp

Bounding chains are a technique that offers three benefits to Markov chain practitioners: a theoretical bound on the mixing time of the chain under restricted conditions, experimental bounds on the mixing time of the chain that are provably…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Huber

Most Markov chain Monte Carlo methods operate in discrete time and are reversible with respect to the target probability. Nevertheless, it is now understood that the use of non-reversible Markov chains can be beneficial in many contexts. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

The time to converge to the steady state of a finite Markov chain can be greatly reduced by a lifting operation, which creates a new Markov chain on an expanded state space. For a class of quadratic objectives, we show an analogous behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-14 Guilherme França , José Bento

We introduce the Hamming Ball Sampler, a novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, for efficient inference in statistical models involving high-dimensional discrete state spaces. The sampling scheme uses an auxiliary variable construction…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

We study $k$-divisible partition structures, which are families of random set partitions whose block sizes are divisible by an integer $k=1,2,\ldots$. In this setting, exchangeability corresponds to the usual invariance under relabeling by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Harry Crane , Peter McCullagh

We consider a simple discrete-time Markov chain with values in $[0,\infty)^{Z^d}$. The Markov chain describes various interesting examples such as oriented percolation, directed polymers in random environment, time discretizations of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-26 Nobuo Yoshida

Consider an N-dimensional Markov chain obtained from N one-dimensional random walks by Doob h-transform with the q-Vandermonde determinant. We prove that as N becomes large, these Markov chains converge to an infinite-dimensional Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Alexei Borodin , Vadim Gorin

For a spatial characteristic, there exist commonly fat-tail frequency distributions of fragment-size and -mass of glass, areas enclosed by city roads, and pore size/volume in random packings. In order to give a new analytical approach for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Yukio Hayashi , Takayuki Komaki , Yusuke Ide , Takuya Machida , Norio Konno

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

We present a Markov chain on the $n$-dimensional hypercube $\{0,1\}^n$ which satisfies $t_{{\rm mix}}(\epsilon) = n[1 + o(1)]$. This Markov chain alternates between random and deterministic moves and we prove that the chain has cut-off with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 David A. Levin , Chandan Tankala

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

We consider a family of distributions on spatial random partitions that provide a coupling between different models of interest: the ideal Bose gas; the zero-range process; particle clustering; and spatial permutations. These distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Nicholas M. Ercolani , Sabine Jansen , Daniel Ueltschi

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes are an important new tool in the design of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Two examples of fundamental importance are the Bouncy Particle Sampler (BPS) and the Zig-Zag process (ZZ). In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Joris Bierkens , Kengo Kamatani , Gareth O. Roberts

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have important applications in counting problems and in machine learning problems, settings that involve estimating quantities that are difficult to compute exactly. How much can quantum computers speed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-10 Aram W. Harrow , Annie Y. Wei