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Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

Statistical techniques are used in all branches of science to determine the feasibility of quantitative hypotheses. One of the most basic applications of statistical techniques in comparative analysis is the test of equality of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

We study robust estimators of the mean of a probability measure $P$, called robust empirical mean estimators. This elementary construction is then used to revisit a problem of aggregation and a problem of estimator selection, extending…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-05 M. Lerasle , R. I. Oliveira

Rejoinder to ``The 2005 Neyman Lecture: Dynamic Indeterminism in Science'' [arXiv:0808.0620]

Methodology · Statistics 2008-08-06 David R. Brillinger

This paper investigates the problem of making inference about a parametric model for the regression of an outcome variable $Y$ on covariates $(V,L)$ when data are fused from two separate sources, one which contains information only on $(V,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Katherine Evans , BaoLuo Sun , James Robins , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

Estimation of the population total of a variable can be improved by calibration on a set of auxiliary variables. It is difficult to establish that such a set of variables is sufficient, that estimation could not be improved by calibration…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Nicholas T. Longford

Rejoinder to "The Essential Role of Pair Matching in Cluster-Randomized Experiments, with Application to the Mexican Universal Health Insurance Evaluation" [arXiv:0910.3752]

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-21 Kosuke Imai , Gary King , Clayton Nall

The accuracy of the recombination estimation method of Padhukasahasram et al. 2006 can be improved by including additional informative summary statistics in the rejection scheme and by simulating datasets under a fixed segregating sites…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-27 Badri Padhukasahasram

This paper addresses the issues of conservativeness and computational complexity of probabilistic robustness analysis. We solve both issues by defining a new sampling strategy and robustness measure. The new measure is shown to be much less…

Applications · Statistics 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

We study semi-parametric estimation of the population mean when data is observed missing at random (MAR) in the $n < p$ "inconsistency regime", in which neither the outcome model nor the propensity/missingness model can be estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Michael Celentano , Martin J. Wainwright

Our article addresses the problem of flexibly estimating a multivariate density while also attempting to estimate its marginals correctly. We do so by proposing two new estimators that try to capture the best features of mixture of normals…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-05 Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun , Robert Kohn

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

Rejoinder of "Bayesian Models and Methods in Public Policy and Government Settings" by S. E. Fienberg [arXiv:1108.2177]

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-22 Stephen E. Fienberg

A novel approach to improve prediction and inference in M-estimation by integrating external information from heterogeneous populations is proposed. Our method leverages joint asymptotics to combine estimates from external and internal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Walter Dempsey , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

We introduce four new real-world distribution shift datasets consisting of changes in image style, image blurriness, geographic location, camera operation, and more. With our new datasets, we take stock of previously proposed methods for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Dan Hendrycks , Steven Basart , Norman Mu , Saurav Kadavath , Frank Wang , Evan Dorundo , Rahul Desai , Tyler Zhu , Samyak Parajuli , Mike Guo , Dawn Song , Jacob Steinhardt , Justin Gilmer

Rejoinder of "Calibrated Bayes, for Statistics in General, and Missing Data in Particular" by R. Little [arXiv:1108.1917]

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-18 Roderick Little