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We show that Transformers are Maximum Posterior Probability estimators for Mixtures of Gaussian Models. This brings a probabilistic point of view to Transformers and suggests extensions to other probabilistic cases.

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Javier R. Movellan , Prasad Gabbur

In this paper, we consider recent progress in estimating the average treatment effect when extreme inverse probability weights are present and focus on methods that account for a possible violation of the positivity assumption. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-26 Roland A. Matsouaka , Yunji Zhou

The problem whether weighted estimates for multilinear Fourier multipliers with Sobolev regularity hold under weak condition on weights is considered.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Mai Fujita , Naohito Tomita

Prediction performance does not always reflect the estimation behaviour of a method. High error in estimation may necessarily not result in high prediction error, but can lead to an unreliable prediction if test data lie in a slightly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Raju Rimal , Trygve Almøy , Solve Sæbø

In this note unbounded hyperexpansive weighted composition operators are investigated. AS a consequence unbounded hyperexpansive multiplication and composition operators are characterized.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Yousef Estaremi

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

We consider robust estimation of wrapped models to multivariate circular data that are points on the surface of a $p$-torus based on the weighted likelihood methodology.Robust model fitting is achieved by a set of weighted likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco , Giovanni Saraceno

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

Valid estimation of treatment effects from observational data requires proper control of confounding. If the number of covariates is large relative to the number of observations, then controlling for all available covariates is infeasible.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-11 Joseph Antonelli , Matthew Cefalu , Nathan Palmer , Denis Agniel

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become a popular approach to study the effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. A challenge in MR is that each genetic variant explains a relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Hyunseung Kang

Bairamov et al. (Aust N Z J Stat 47:543-547, 2005) characterize the exponential distribution in terms of the regression of a function of a record value with its adjacent record values as covariates. We extend these results to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-30 George P. Yanev , M. Ahsanullah , M. I. Beg

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Confounding control is crucial and yet challenging for causal inference based on observational studies. Under the typical unconfoundness assumption, augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) has been popular for estimating the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Eunah Cho , Shu Yang

Weighting estimators based on propensity scores are widely used for causal estimation in a variety of contexts, such as observational studies, marginal structural models and interference. They enjoy appealing theoretical properties such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-06 Linbo Wang , Yuexia Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Clicks on rankings suffer from position-bias: generally items on lower ranks are less likely to be examined - and thus clicked - by users, in spite of their actual preferences between items. The prevalent approach to unbiased click-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Harrie Oosterhuis

We consider the class of inverse probability weight (IPW) estimators, including the popular Horvitz-Thompson and Hajek estimators used routinely in survey sampling, causal inference and evidence estimation for Bayesian computation. We focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas Polson

The paper is devoted to the study of the twice epi-differentiablity of extended-real-valued functions, with an emphasis on functions satisfying a certain composite representation. This will be conducted under the parabolic regularity, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-15 Ashkan Mohammadi , M. Ebrahim Sarabi

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

Corrigendum : An inverse problem in corrosion detection:stability estimates, J. Inv. Ill-posed Problems 12 (4) (2004), 349-367.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-03-30 Mourad Choulli

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato
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