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This paper is concerned with the development and use of duality theory for a hidden Markov model (HMM) with white noise observations. The main contribution of this work is to introduce a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Jin Won Kim , Prashant G. Mehta

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

In this work, we study stability of distributed filtering of Markov chains with finite state space, partially observed in conditionally Gaussian noise. We consider a nonlinear filtering scheme over a Distributed Network of Agents (DNA),…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

This work proposes a detectability condition for linear time-varying systems based on the exponential dichotomy spectrum. The condition guarantees the existence of an observer, whose gain is determined only by the unstable modes of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-20 Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Martin Steinberger , Martin Horn , Christian Pötzsche

We consider the problem of filtering an unseen Markov chain from noisy observations, in the presence of uncertainty regarding the parameters of the processes involved. Using the theory of nonlinear expectations, we describe the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Samuel N. Cohen

This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear (stochastic) filter stability of a hidden Markov model (HMM) with white noise observations. A contribution is the variance decay property which is used to conclude filter stability. For…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Jin Won Kim , Prashant G. Mehta

This paper discusses stability and robustness properties of a recently proposed observer algorithm for linear time varying systems. The observer is based on the approximation and subsequent modification of the non-negative Lyapunov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Markus Tranninger , Sergiy Zhuk , Martin Steinberger , Leonid Fridman , Martin Horn

The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation technique in the geosciences. However, little is known theoretically about its long term stability and accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the behavior of an ensemble…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

Filter stability is a classical problem in the study of partially observed Markov processes (POMP), also known as hidden Markov models (HMM). For a POMP, an incorrectly initialized non-linear filter is said to be (asymptotically) stable if…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel

We analyze the observability of motion estimates from the fusion of visual and inertial sensors. Because the model contains unknown parameters, such as sensor biases, the problem is usually cast as a mixed identification/filtering, and the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Joshua Hernandez , Konstantine Tsotsos , Stefano Soatto

The exponential stability and the concentration properties of a class of extended Kalman-Bucy filters are analyzed. New estimation concentration inequalities around partially observed signals are derived in terms of the stability properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Pierre Del Moral , Aline Kurtzmann , Julian Tugaut

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

Observability is a modelling property that describes the possibility of inferring the internal state of a system from observations of its output. A related property, structural identifiability, refers to the theoretical possibility of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-12 Alejandro F. Villaverde

An important objective of the classical processing of stationary random sequences under nonparametric uncertainty is the problem of filtering in case when the distribution of the underlying signal is unknown. In this paper it is assumed…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 L. A. Markovich

We consider Hidden Markov Models that emit sequences of observations that are drawn from continuous distributions. For example, such a model may emit a sequence of numbers, each of which is drawn from a uniform distribution, but the support…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Oscar Darwin , Stefan Kiefer

When is a nonlinear filter stable with respect to its initial condition? In spite of the recent progress, this question still lacks a complete answer in general. Currently available results indicate that stability of the filter depends on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

In this paper we propose a new observability property for nonautonomous linear control systems in finite dimension: the nonuniform complete observability, which is more general than the uniform complete observability. A dual relationship is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Ignacio Huerta , Pablo Monzón

This paper considers hidden Markov models where the observations are given as the sum of a latent state which lies in a general state space and some independent noise with unknown distribution. It is shown that these fully nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff , Luc Lehéricy

The concept of observability of linear systems initiated with Kalman in the mid 1950s. Roughly a decade later, the observability of nonlinear systems appeared. By such definitions a system is either observable or not. Continuous measures of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-06 Luis A. Aguirre , Leonardo L. Portes , Christophe Letellier

We consider the set of bimodal linear systems consisting of two linear dynamics acting on each side of a given hyperplane, assuming continuity along the separating hyperplane. Focusing on the unobservable planar ones, we obtain a simple…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Josep Ferrer , M. Dolors Magret , Juan R. Pacha , Marta Peña