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The Rao-Blackwell theorem is utilized to analyze and improve the scalability of inference in large probabilistic models that exhibit symmetries. A novel marginal density estimator is introduced and shown both analytically and empirically to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Mathias Niepert

The marginal likelihood of a model is a key quantity for assessing the evidence provided by the data in support of a model. The marginal likelihood is the normalizing constant for the posterior density, obtained by integrating the product…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-30 Mathieu Fourment , Andrew F. Magee , Chris Whidden , Arman Bilge , Frederick A. Matsen , Vladimir N. Minin

Two-sample inference for the difference of population means typically relies upon a Central Limit Theorem approximation. When data are drawn from a Negative Binomial distribution, previous work of Shilane et al. (2010) showed that a Normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-06 David Shilane , Derek Bean

We consider Bayesian variable selection in sparse high-dimensional regression, where the number of covariates $p$ may be large relative to the samples size $n$, but at most a moderate number $q$ of covariates are active. Specifically, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton , Kean Ming Tan

This paper is concerned with approximations and related discretization error estimates for the normal derivatives of solutions of linear elliptic partial differential equations. In order to illustrate the ideas, we consider the Poisson…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-17 J. Pfefferer , M. Winkler

Given sufficiently many components, it is often cited that finite mixture models can approximate any other probability density function (pdf) to an arbitrary degree of accuracy. Unfortunately, the nature of this approximation result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 T Tin Nguyen , Hien D Nguyen , Faicel Chamroukhi , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Many real phenomena may be modelled as random closed sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$, of different Hausdorff dimensions. In many real applications, such as fiber processes and $n$-facets of random tessellations of dimension $n\leq d$ in spaces of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Luigi Ambrosio , Vincenzo Capasso , Elena Villa

The predominance of machine learning models in many spheres of human activity has led to a growing demand for their transparency. The transparency of models makes it possible to discern some factors, such as security or non-discrimination.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Niffa Cheick Oumar Diaby , Thierry Duchesne , Mario Marchand

Employing nonparametric methods for density estimation has become routine in Bayesian statistical practice. Models based on discrete nonparametric priors such as Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models are very attractive choices due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-03 J. J. Quinlan , F. A. Quintana , G. L. Page

In the propositional setting, the marginal problem is to find a (maximum-entropy) distribution that has some given marginals. We study this problem in a relational setting and make the following contributions. First, we compare two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Ondrej Kuzelka , Yuyi Wang , Jesse Davis , Steven Schockaert

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

Label switching is a well-known and fundamental problem in Bayesian estimation of mixture or hidden Markov models. In case that the prior distribution of the model parameters is the same for all states, then both the likelihood and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-07 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

Data sets for statistical analysis become extremely large even with some difficulty of being stored on one single machine. Even when the data can be stored in one machine, the computational cost would still be intimidating. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Ya Su

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Computational couplings of Markov chains provide a practical route to unbiased Monte Carlo estimation that can utilize parallel computation. However, these approaches depend crucially on chains meeting after a small number of transitions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-14 Brian L. Trippe , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

Gibbs sampling methods are standard tools to perform posterior inference for mixture models. These have been broadly classified into two categories: marginal and conditional methods. While conditional samplers are more widely applicable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Pierpaolo De Blasi , María F. Gil-Leyva

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

Choosing the number of mixture components remains an elusive challenge. Model selection criteria can be either overly liberal or conservative and return poorly-separated components of limited practical use. We formalize non-local priors…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-12 Jairo Fúquene , Mark Steel , David Rossell