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A key a priori information used in 4DVar is the knowledge of the system's evolution equations. In this paper we propose a method for taking full advantage of the knowledge of the system's dynamical instabilities in order to improve the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-18 Anna Trevisan , Massimo D'Isidoro , Olivier Talagrand

The URANS equations provide a computationally efficient tool to simulate unsteady turbulent flows for a wide range of applications. To account for the errors introduced by the turbulence closure model, recent works have adopted data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-22 Justin Plogmann , Oliver Brenner , Patrick Jenny

Bayesian state estimation of a dynamical system utilising a stream of noisy measurements is important in many geophysical and engineering applications. We establish rigorous results on (time-asymptotic) accuracy and stability of these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Animikh Biswas , Michal Branicki

We show how the 3DVAR data assimilation methodology can be used in the astrophysical context of a two-dimensional convection flow. We study the way this variational approach finds best estimates of the current state of the flow from a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-09 Andreas Svedin , Milena C. Cuellar , Axel Brandenburg

Although data assimilation originates from control theory, the relationship between modern data assimilation methods in geoscience and model predictive control has not been extensively explored. In the present paper, I discuss that the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-21 Yohei Sawada

It is well understood that dynamic instability is among the primary drivers of forecast uncertainty in chaotic, physical systems. Data assimilation techniques have been designed to exploit this phenomena, reducing the effective dimension of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Colin Grudzien , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models, has great potential to incorporate machine learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Feiyu Lu

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

A novel near-field integrated sensing and communications framework for secure unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) networks with high time efficiency is proposed. A ground base station (GBS) with large aperture size communicates with one…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 Jingjing Zhao , Songtao Xue , Kaiquan Cai , Xidong Mu , Yuanwei Liu , Yanbo Zhu

Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

As the severity and occurrence of flood events tend to intensify with climate change, the need for flood forecasting capability increases. In this regard, the Flood Detection, Alert and rapid Mapping (FloodDAM) project, funded by Space for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Gwendoline Blanchet , Santiago Pena Luque , Simon Baillarin

This work integrates ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) with the energy-aware hybrid modeling approach, applied to a three-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) model of the Gulf Stream flow. Building on prior DA success in the QG channel regime,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-03 Igor Shevchenko , Dan Crisan

High-speed boundary-layer transition is extremely sensitive to the free-stream disturbances which are often uncertain. This uncertainty compromises predictions of models and simulations. To enhance the fidelity of simulations, we directly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-28 David A. Buchta , Tamer A. Zaki

A nonlinear ensemble-variational (EnVar) data assimilation is performed in order to estimate the unknown flow field over a slender cone at Mach-6, from isolated wall-pressure measurements. The cost functional accounts for discrepancies in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-14 David A. Buchta , Stuart J. Laurence , Tamer A. Zaki

Through ensemble-based data assimilation (DA), we address one of the most notorious difficulties in phase-resolved ocean wave forecast, regarding the deviation of numerical solution from the true surface elevation due to the chaotic nature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-01 Guangyao Wang , Yulin Pan

Data assimilation plays a pivotal role in understanding and predicting turbulent systems within geoscience and weather forecasting, where data assimilation is used to address three fundamental challenges, i.e., high-dimensionality,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 Siming Liang , Hoang Tran , Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Guannan Zhang

The forecasting skill of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models critically depends on the accurate initial conditions, also known as analysis, provided by data assimilation (DA). Traditional DA methods often face a trade-off between…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Yanfei Xiang , Weixin Jin , Haiyu Dong , Mingliang Bai , Zuliang Fang , Pengcheng Zhao , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang , Xiaomeng Huang

Reliable real-time 3D localization is essential for multi-UAV navigation, collision avoidance, and coordinated flight, yet onboard estimates can degrade under GNSS multipath, non-line-of-sight reception, vertical drift, and intentional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hosam Alamleh , Damir Pulatov

Exploring the possibility that fundamental constants of Nature might vary temporally or spatially constitutes one of the key science drivers for the European Southern Observatory's ESPRESSO spectrograph on the VLT and for the HIRES…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-21 Chung-Chi Lee , John K. Webb , R. F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković
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