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Related papers: Stochastic chains with memory of variable length

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A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

Stochastic models such as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and Stochastic Hybrid Automata (SHA) are powerful formalisms to model and to reason about the dynamics of biological systems, due to their ability to capture the stochasticity…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Laura Nenzi , Guido Sanguinetti

In this chapter we take a look at the universal approximation question for stochastic feedforward neural networks. In contrast to deterministic networks, which represent mappings from a set of inputs to a set of outputs, stochastic networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Thomas Merkh , Guido Montúfar

We develop a new Bayesian modelling framework for the class of higher-order, variable-memory Markov chains, and introduce an associated collection of methodological tools for exact inference with discrete time series. We show that a version…

Stochastic neural networks are a prototypical computational device able to build a probabilistic representation of an ensemble of external stimuli. Building on the relationship between inference and learning, we derive a synaptic plasticity…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-10-23 Luca Saglietti , Federica Gerace , Alessandro Ingrosso , Carlo Baldassi , Riccardo Zecchina

Temporal networks are widely used models for describing the architecture of complex systems. Network memory -- that is the dependence of a temporal network's structure on its past -- has been shown to play a prominent role in diffusion,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Oliver E. Williams , Lucas Lacasa , Ana P. Millán , Vito Latora

Temporal data modelling techniques with neural networks are useful in many domain applications, including time-series forecasting and control engineering. This paper aims at developing a recurrent version of stochastic configuration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Dianhui Wang , Gang Dang

Leveraging advances in variational inference, we propose to enhance recurrent neural networks with latent variables, resulting in Stochastic Recurrent Networks (STORNs). The model i) can be trained with stochastic gradient methods, ii)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-09 Justin Bayer , Christian Osendorfer

This paper contributes to a development of randomized methods for neural networks. The proposed learner model is generated incrementally by stochastic configuration (SC) algorithms, termed as Stochastic Configuration Networks (SCNs). In…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Dianhui Wang , Ming Li

Higher-order Markov chains are frequently used to model categorical time series. However, a major problem with fitting such models is the exponentially growing number of parameters in the model order. A popular approach to parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Tuhin Majumder , Soumendra Lahiri , Donald Martin

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

Aiming to augment generative models with external memory, we interpret the output of a memory module with stochastic addressing as a conditional mixture distribution, where a read operation corresponds to sampling a discrete memory address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-22 Jörg Bornschein , Andriy Mnih , Daniel Zoran , Danilo J. Rezende

Stochastic storage models based on essentially non-Gaussian noise are considered. The stochastic description of physical systems based on stochastic storage models is associated with generalized Poisson (or shot) noise, in which the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-22 V. V. Ryazanov

Stochastic network calculus is a newly developed theory for stochastic service guarantee analysis of computer networks. In the current stochastic network calculus literature, its fundamental models are based on the cumulative amount of…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-12-14 Jing Xie , Yuming Jiang , Min Xie

Attention is an important cognition process of humans, which helps humans concentrate on critical information during their perception and learning. However, although many machine learning models can remember information of data, they have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Guoqiang Zhong , Xin Lin , Kang Chen , Qingyang Li , Kaizhu Huang

The main goal of the paper is to develop an estimate for the conditional probability function of random stationary ergodic symbolic sequences with elements belonging to a finite alphabet. We elaborate a decomposition procedure for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-09 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

In this paper, we present a recurrent neural system named Long Short-term Cognitive Networks (LSTCNs) as a generalization of the Short-term Cognitive Network (STCN) model. Such a generalization is motivated by the difficulty of forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Gonzalo Nápoles , Isel Grau , Agnieszka Jastrzebska , Yamisleydi Salgueiro

We develop stochastic variational inference, a scalable algorithm for approximating posterior distributions. We develop this technique for a large class of probabilistic models and we demonstrate it with two probabilistic topic models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-24 Matt Hoffman , David M. Blei , Chong Wang , John Paisley

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh