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We study the quadratic prediction error method -- i.e., nonlinear least squares -- for a class of time-varying parametric predictor models satisfying a certain identifiability condition. While this method is known to asymptotically achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Charis Stamouli , Ingvar Ziemann , George J. Pappas

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

When the in-sample Sharpe ratio is obtained by optimizing over a k-dimensional parameter space, it is a biased estimator for what can be expected on unseen data (out-of-sample). We derive (1) an unbiased estimator adjusting for both sources…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-26 Dirk Paulsen , Jakob Söhl

For the sparse vector model, we consider estimation of the target vector, of its L2-norm and of the noise variance. We construct adaptive estimators and establish the optimal rates of adaptive estimation when adaptation is considered with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Laëtitia Comminges , Olivier Collier , Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in additive, partially linear models for longitudinal/clustered data. We propose an estimation procedure via polynomial splines to estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Shujie Ma , Qiongxia Song , Li Wang

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

We study the statistical properties of the least squares estimator in unimodal sequence estimation. Although closely related to isotonic regression, unimodal regression has not been as extensively studied. We show that the unimodal least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-10 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , John Lafferty

We consider the robust adaptive nonparametric estimation problem for a periodic function observed in the framework of a continuous time regression model with semimartingale noises.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Evgeny A. Pchelintsev , Serguei M. Pergamenshchikov , Maria A. Povzun

In this paper we develop a nonparametric regression method that is simultaneously adaptive over a wide range of function classes for the regression function and robust over a large collection of error distributions, including those that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-28 Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

In this paper, we consider a functional linear regression model, where both the covariate and the response variable are functional random variables. We address the problem of optimal nonparametric estimation of the conditional expectation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Gaëlle Chagny , Anouar Meynaoui , Angelina Roche

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation under $\bL_p$-loss, $p\in [1,\infty)$, in the framework of the convolution structure density model on $\bR^d$. This observation scheme is a generalization of two classical statistical models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-17 Oleg Lepski , Thomas Willer

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in partially linear models with a divergent number of covariates in the linear part, under the assumption that the vector of regression coefficients is sparse. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Huiliang Xie , Jian Huang

This note studies a method for the efficient estimation of a finite number of unknown parameters from linear equations, which are perturbed by Gaussian noise. In case the unknown parameters have only few nonzero entries, the proposed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Liang Dai , Kristiaan Pelckmans

We consider the high-dimensional heteroscedastic regression model, where the mean and the log variance are modeled as a linear combination of input variables. Existing literature on high-dimensional linear regres- sion models has largely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-23 Mladen Kolar , James Sharpnack

This paper develops negative curvature methods for continuous nonlinear unconstrained optimization in stochastic settings, in which function, gradient, and Hessian information is available only through probabilistic oracles, i.e., oracles…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Albert S. Berahas , Raghu Bollapragada , Wanping Dong

We study the problem of estimating the one-point specification probabilities in non-necessary finite discrete random fields from partially observed independent samples. Our procedures are based on model selection by minimization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Y. Takahashi

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

This paper derives new asymptotic results for the adaptive LASSO estimator in cointegrating regressions, allowing for uncertainty about whether the regressors are exact unit root processes. We study model selection probabilities, estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Karsten Reichold , Ulrike Schneider

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang
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