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We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We study the estimation of the value function for continuous-time Markov diffusion processes using a single, discretely observed ergodic trajectory. Our work provides non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for the least-squares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Wenlong Mou

This paper provides new insights into the asymptotic properties of the synthetic control method (SCM). We show that the synthetic control (SC) weight converges to a limiting weight that minimizes the mean squared prediction risk of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Xiaomeng Zhang , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying $d$-dimensional random vector can be described by its angular measure. The standard nonparametric estimator of this measure is the empirical measure of the observed angles of the $k$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Holger Drees

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

In multivariate regression estimation, the rate of convergence depends on the dimension of the regressor. This fact, known as the curse of the dimensionality, motivated several works. The additive model, introduced by Stone (10), offers an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Mohammed Debbarh , Bertrand Maillot

For optimal control problems on finite graphs in continuous time, the dynamic programming principle leads to value functions characterized by systems of nonlinear ordinary differential equations. In this paper, we consider the case of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Olivier Guéant

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We construct several sequences of asymptotically optimal definite quadrature formulae of fourth order and evaluate their error constants. Besides the asymptotical optimality, an advantage of our quadrature formulae is the explicit form of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Ana Avdzhieva , Geno Nikolov

This paper develops a quantized Q-learning algorithm for the optimal control of controlled diffusion processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ under both discounted and ergodic (average) cost criteria. We first establish near-optimality of finite-state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Erhan Bayraktar , Ali D. Kara , Somnath Pradhan , Serdar Yuksel

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

This paper introduces a general framework for iterative optimization algorithms and establishes under general assumptions that their convergence is asymptotically geometric. We also prove that under appropriate assumptions, the rate of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-27 Randal Douc , Sylvain Le Corff

Some problems in the theory and applications of stochastic processes can be reduced to solving integral equations. While explicit solutions for these equations are often elusive, valuable insights can be gained through their asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

We provide a means of computing and estimating the asymptotic distributions of statistics based on an outer minimization of an inner maximization. Such test statistics, which arise frequently in moment models, are of special interest in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-17 Isaac Loh

Cox proportional hazards model with measurement error is investigated. In Kukush et al. (2011) [Journal of Statistical Research 45, 77-94] and Chimisov and Kukush (2014) [Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications 1, 13-32] asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Alexander Kukush , Oksana Chernova

We introduce a new approach to the the asymptotic iteration method (AIM) by means of which we establish the standard AIM connection with the continued fractions technique and we develop a novel termination condition in terms of the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Davide Batic , Marek Nowakowski

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

We consider parametric estimation for ergodic diffusion processes with noisy sampled data based on the hybrid method, that is, the multi-step estimation with the initial Bayes type estimators. In order to select proper initial values for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Yusuke Kaino , Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We analyze the problem of discrete distribution estimation under $\ell_1$ loss. We provide non-asymptotic upper and lower bounds on the maximum risk of the empirical distribution (the maximum likelihood estimator), and the minimax risk in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

The first purpose of this article is to obtain a.s. asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in the autoregressive process driven by a stationary Gaussian noise. The second purpose is to show the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Marius Soltane