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Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

While a theoretical limit has long been established for the performance of a single turbine, no corresponding upper bound exists for the power output from a large wind farm, making it difficult to evaluate the available potential for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-19 Paolo Luzzatto-Fegiz , Colm-cille P. Caulfield

Vertical-axis wind turbines are great candidates to diversify wind energy technology, but their aerodynamic complexity limits industrial deployment. To improve the efficiency and lifespan of vertical axis wind turbines, we desire…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-30 Sébastien Le Fouest , Daniel Fernex , Karen Mulleners

Real-time state estimation and forecasting is critical for efficient operation of power grids. In this paper, a physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) method is presented and used for probabilistic forecasting and estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-12 Tong Ma , David Alonso Barajas-Solano , Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

The trend towards larger wind turbines and remote locations of wind farms fuels the demand for automated condition monitoring strategies that can reduce the operating cost and avoid unplanned downtime. Normal behaviour modelling has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Angela Meyer

Background. This paper study statistical data gathered from wind turbines located on the territory of the Republic of Poland. The research is aimed to construct the stochastic model that predicts the change of wind speed with time. Purpose.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-11-15 M. N. Gevorkyan , A. V. Demidova , Robert A. Sobolewski , I. S. Zaryadov , A. V. Korolkova , D. S. Kulyabov , L. A. Sevastianov

This paper introduces a dynamic parametric wind farm model that is capable of simulating floating wind turbine platform motion coupled with wake transport under time-varying wind conditions. The simulator is named FOWFSim-Dyn as it is a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-21 Ali C. Kheirabadi , Ryozo Nagamune

This paper addresses the topic of condition monitoring of wind turbine blades and presents a learning-based approach to fault detection. The proposed scheme utilises Principal Components Analysis and Autoencoders to derive data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-01 Giovanni Zaniboni , Alessio Dallabona , Johnny Nielsen , Dimitrios Papageorgiou

Wind power forecasting has drawn increasing attention among researchers as the consumption of renewable energy grows. In this paper, we develop a deep learning approach based on encoder-decoder structure. Our model forecasts wind power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Jiangyuan Li , Mohammadreza Armandpour

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

Quantifying the uncertainty of wind energy potential from climate models is a very time-consuming task and requires a considerable amount of computational resources. A statistical model trained on a small set of runs can act as a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Jaehong Jeong , Yuan Yan , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Despite substantial growth in wind energy technology in recent decades, aerodynamic modeling of wind turbines relies on momentum models derived in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, which are well-known to break down under flow regimes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-01-19 Jaime Liew , Kirby S. Heck , Michael F. Howland

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Facing increasing societal and economic pressure, many countries have established strategies to develop renewable energy portfolios, whose penetration in the market can alleviate the dependence on fossil fuels. In the case of wind, there is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Jiachen Zhang , Paola Crippa , Marc G. Genton , Stefano Castruccio

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

Wind farm design primarily depends on the variability of the wind turbine wake flows to the atmospheric wind conditions, and the interaction between wakes. Physics-based models that capture the wake flow-field with high-fidelity are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Romit Maulik , Stefano Letizia , Giacomo Valerio Iungo

In this study, we leverage SCADA data from diverse wind turbines to predict power output, employing advanced time series methods, specifically Functional Neural Networks (FNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. A key innovation…

The incidence of widespread low-wind conditions is important to the reliability and economics of electric grids with large amounts of wind power. In order to investigate a future in which wind plants are geographically widespread but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-30 Mark A. Handschy , Stephen Rose , Jay Apt

Based on the Langevin equation it has been proposed to obtain power curves for wind turbines from high frequency data of wind speed measurements u(t) and power output P (t). The two parts of the Langevin approach, power curve and drift…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-09 Tanja A. Mücke , Matthias Wächter , Patrick Milan , Joachim Peinke

Airborne wind energy systems aim to generate renewable energy by means of the aerodynamic lift produced by a wing tethered to the ground and controlled to fly crosswind paths. The problem of maximizing the average power developed by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Aldo U. Zgraggen , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari
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