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When knowledge is obtained from a database, it is only possible to deduce confidence intervals for probability values. With confidence intervals replacing point values, the results in the set covering model include interval constraints for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide through a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility $1-\alpha$ and frequentist coverage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Eric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

This paper investigates the problem of estimating the spectral power parameters of random analog sources using numerical measurements acquired with minimum digitization complexity. Therefore, spectral analysis has to be performed with…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-29 Manuel S. Stein

Construction of tight confidence regions and intervals is central to statistical inference and decision making. This paper develops new theory showing minimum average volume confidence regions for categorical data. More precisely, consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-01 Matthew L. Malloy , Ardhendu Tripathy , Robert D. Nowak

For the basic maximum likelihood estimating function of the two parameters Weibull distribution, a simple proof on its global monotonicity is given to ensure the existence and uniqueness of its solution. The boundary of the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-04 DeTao Mao , Wenyuan Li

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

The paper gives the bounds on the solutions to a Stein equation for the negative binomial distribution that are needed for approximation in terms of the Wasserstein metric. The proofs are probabilistic, and follow the approach introduced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-02 A. D. Barbour , H. L. Gan , A. Xia

Fast robust methods for calculating likelihoods from CMB observations on small scales generally rely on approximations based on a set of power spectrum estimators and their covariances. We investigate the optimality of these approximation,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Samira Hamimeche , Antony Lewis

Missing data is an important challenge when dealing with high dimensional data arranged in the form of an array. In this paper, we propose methods for estimation of the parameters of array variate normal probability model from partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-06 Deniz Akdemir

Sequential estimation of a probability $p$ by means of inverse binomial sampling is considered. For $\mu_1,\mu_2>1$ given, the accuracy of an estimator $\hat{p}$ is measured by the confidence level $P[p/\mu_2\leq\hat{p}\leq p\mu_1]$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Luis Mendo , José M. Hernando

Split sample methods have recently been put forward as a way to reduce the coverage oscillations that haunt confidence intervals for parameters of lattice distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. We study split sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

We compare two ways of constructing confidence intervals for the moments-matching parameter estimates of a Gaussian spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It was found that those obtained via pairwise likelihood approximations had…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-25 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

The paper builds upon a recent approach to find the approximate bounds of a real function using Polynomial Chaos expansions. Given a function of random variables with compact support probability distributions, the intuition is to quantify…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

The Weibull distribution, with shape parameter $k>0$ and scale parameter $\lambda>0$, is one of the most popular parametric distributions in survival analysis with complete or censored data. Although inference of the parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

We give a simple polynomial-time approximation algorithm for the total variation distance between two product distributions.

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Weiming Feng , Heng Guo , Mark Jerrum , Jiaheng Wang

Error estimates on parton density distributions are presently based on the traditional method of least squares minimisation and linear error propagation in global QCD fits. We review the underlying assumptions and the various mathematical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 M. Botje

We derive an exact closed-form analytical expression for the distribution of the cover time for a random walk over an arbitrary graph. In special case, we derive simplified exact expressions for the distributions of cover time for a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-20 Nikola Zlatanov , Ljupco Kocarev

We give a fully polynomial randomized approximation scheme to compute a lower bound for the matching polynomial of any weighted graph at a positive argument. For the matching polynomial of complete bipartite graphs with bounded weights…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Shmuel Friedland