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We revisit the problem of constructing predictive confidence sets for which we wish to obtain some type of conditional validity. We provide new arguments showing how ``split conformal'' methods achieve near desired coverage levels with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 John C. Duchi

The bootstrap, based on resampling, has, for several decades, been a widely used method for computing confidence intervals for applications where no exact method is available and when sample sizes are not large enough to be able to rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-27 Chris Gotwalt , Li Xu , Yili Hong , William Q. Meeker

We introduce a $2$-approximation algorithm for the minimum total covering number problem.

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-08-20 Pooya Hatami

A calculator program has been written to give confidence intervals on branching ratios for rare decay modes (or similar quantities) calculated from the number of events observed, the acceptance factor, the background estimate and the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Roger Barlow

In this paper, we develop interval estimation methods for means of bounded random variables based on a sequential procedure such that the sampling is continued until the sample sum is no less than a prescribed threshold.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

The most frequently taught confidence intervals for a proportion are the classical Wald (Ws) and the Clopper-Pearson (CP) ones because of the simplicity of their definition. However, their actual coverage probability of the parameter p is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Jean-Christophe Turlot , Jean François Petiot

Parametric hypothesis testing associated with two independent samples arises frequently in several applications in biology, medical sciences, epidemiology, reliability and many more. In this paper, we propose robust Wald-type tests for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

The median absolute deviation (MAD) is a robust measure of scale that is simple to implement and easy to interpret. Motivated by this, we introduce interval estimators of the MAD to make reliable inferences for dispersion for a single…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast

In this paper, we provide upper and lower estimates for the minimal number of functions needed to represent a bounded variation function with an accuracy of epsilon with respect to ${\bf L}^1$-distance.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Prerona Dutta , Khai T. Nguyen

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

There are several estimators of conditional probability from observed frequencies of features. In this paper, we propose using the lower limit of confidence interval on posterior distribution determined by the observed frequencies to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Eiko Yamamoto , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

The asymptotic behaviour of the commonly used bootstrap percentile confidence interval is investigated when the parameters are subject to linear inequality constraints. We concentrate on the important one- and two-sample problems with data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Chunlin Wang , Paul Marriott , Pengfei Li

Survival random forest is a popular machine learning tool for modeling censored survival data. However, there is currently no statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating its confidence band. This paper proposes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Sarah Elizabeth Formentini , Wei Liang , Ruoqing Zhu

Inference about a scalar parameter of interest is a core statistical task that has attracted immense research in statistics. The Wald statistic is a prime candidate for the task, on the grounds of the asymptotic validity of the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 C. Di Caterina , I. Kosmidis

In many statistical problems, several estimators are usually available for interval estimation of a parameter of interest, and hence, the selection of an appropriate estimator is important. The criterion for a good estimator is to have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet

A profile likelihood ratio test is proposed for inferences on the index coefficients in generalized single-index models. Key features include its simplicity in implementation, invariance against parametrization, and exhibiting substantially…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-27 Nanxi Zhang , Alan Huang

This paper describes a simple procedure to estimate the parameters of the univariate truncated normal and lognormal distributions by maximum likelihood. It starts from a reparameterization of the lognormal that was previously introduced by…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-25 Salvador Pueyo

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Results of numerical procedure of constructing confidence intervals for parameter of the Poisson distribution of signal events in the presence of background events with known value of parameter of Poisson distribution are presented. It is…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov , V. A. Taperechkina

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers