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This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We present a new bound for suprema of a special type of chaos processes indexed by a set of matrices, which is based on a chaining method. As applications we show significantly improved estimates for the restricted isometry constants of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Felix Krahmer , Shahar Mendelson , Holger Rauhut

We propose a new model and estimation framework for spatiotemporal streamflow exceedances above a threshold that flexibly captures asymptotic dependence and independence in the tail of the distribution. We model streamflow using a mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Ryan Li , Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich , Reetam Majumder

This article studies the dynamics of a finite chain with infinite components. The equation which permits us to find the probability distribution of the chain length is constructed and analysed. This research is a continuation of paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-19 Elena V. Karachanskaya

We suggest an approach to obtaining general two-sided bounds on the rate of convergence in terms of special "weighted" norms related to total variation. Some important classes of continuous-time Markov chains are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 A. Zeifman , V. Korolev

This paper analyzes general spatially-coupled (SC) systems with multi-dimensional coupling. A continuum approximation is used to derive potential functions that characterize the performance of the SC systems. For any dimension of coupling,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-19 Keigo Takeuchi , Toshiyuki Tanaka , Kenta Kasai

Finding upper limits on the rate of events from a proposed process in the presence of unknown backgrounds is an often encountered problem in the search for rare processes. Methods based on unusually large "gaps", or spacings, in the event…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-17 Lolian Shtembari , Allen Caldwell

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Diverging correlation lengths on either side of the jamming transition are used to formulate a rheological model of granular shear flow, based on the propagation of stress through force chain networks. The model predicts three distinct flow…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Gregg Lois , Jean M. Carlson

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

This article gives an overview of the developments in controlled diffusion processes, emphasizing key results regarding existence of optimal controls and their characterization via dynamic programming for a variety of cost criteria and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vivek S. Borkar

Scheduling control problems for a family of unitary networks under heavy traffic with general interarrival and service times, probabilistic routing and an infinite horizon discounted linear holding cost are studied. Diffusion control…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Amarjit Budhiraja , Arka P. Ghosh

Many complex systems occurring in the natural or social sciences or economics are frequently described on a microscopic level, e.g., by lattice- or agent-based models. To analyze the states of such systems and their bifurcation structure on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-07 Clemens Willers , Uwe Thiele , Andrew J. Archer , David J. B. Lloyd , Oliver Kamps

Uncertainty often plays an important role in dynamic flow problems. In this paper, we consider both, a stationary and a dynamic flow model with uncertain boundary data on networks. We introduce two different ways how to compute the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Michael Schuster , Elisa Strauch , Martin Gugat , Jens Lang

Stochastic diffusion equations are crucial for modeling a range of physical phenomena influenced by uncertainties. We introduce the generalized finite difference method for solving these equations. Then, we examine its consistency,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Faezeh Nassajian Mojarrad

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli