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We develop a probabilistic consumer choice framework based on information asymmetry between consumers and firms. This framework makes it possible to study market competition of several firms by both quality and price of their products. We…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hao Liao , Rui Xiao , Duanbing Chen , Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Consumers in many markets are uncertain about firms' qualities and costs, so buy based on both the price and the quality inferred from it. Optimal pricing depends on consumer heterogeneity only when firms with higher quality have higher…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-04-12 Sander Heinsalu

Market share and quality, or customer satisfaction, go together. Yet inferring one from the other appears difficult. Indeed, such an inference would need detailed information about customer behavior, and might be clouded by modes of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Amir Ban , Nati Linial

There are clear benefits associated with a particular consumer choice for many current markets. For example, as we consider here, some products might carry environmental or `green' benefits. Some consumers might value these benefits while…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gérard Weisbuch , Vincent Buskens , Luat Vuong

We consider a model of oligopolistic competition in a market with search frictions, in which competing firms with products of unknown quality advertise how much information a consumer's visit will glean. In the unique symmetric equilibrium…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Pak Hung Au , Mark Whitmeyer

We develop a location analysis spatial model of firms' competition in multi-characteristics space, where consumers' opinions about the firms' products are distributed on multilayered networks. Firms do not compete on price but only on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-03 Antonios Garas , Athanasios Lapatinas

We model competition on a credence goods market governed by an imperfect label, signaling high quality, as a rank-order tournament between firms. In this market interaction, asymmetric firms jointly and competitively control the aggregate…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-28 Daniel Rehsmann , Béatrice Roussillon , Paul Schweinzer

In market modeling, one often treats buyers as a homogeneous group. In this paper we consider buyers with heterogeneous preferences and products available in many variants. Such a framework allows us to successfully model various market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Choice consistency with utility maximization, as a key assumption in economics, has been extensively used to evaluate decision quality of individuals and to predict real-world outcomes across different contexts. Here we investigate the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Mingshi Chen , Tracy Xiao Liu , You Shan , Shu Wang , Songfa Zhong , Yanju Zhou

In many markets buyers are poorly informed about which firms sell the product (product availability) and prices, and therefore have to spend time to obtain this information. In contrast, sellers typically have a better idea about which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

This paper studies ranking policies in a stylized trial-offer marketplace model, in which a single firm offers products and has consumers with heterogeneous preferences. Consumer trials are influenced by past purchases and the ranking of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Franco Berbeglia , Gerardo Berbeglia , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

The state of economic theory and accumulated facts from the different branches of the economic science require to analyze the concept of the description of economy systems. The economic reality generates the problems the solution of that is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-01 N. S. Gonchar

This article develops a quality notion that is complementary to the system notion. As a major consequence, it becomes clear why quality can be measured only to a certain extend based on the issues of validity and incompleteness. First,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Johannes Reich

The combination of argumentation and probability paves the way to new accounts of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty, thereby offering new theoretical and applicative opportunities. Due to a variety of interests, probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Regis Riveret , Pietro Baroni , Yang Gao , Guido Governatori , Antonino Rotolo , Giovanni Sartor

Data regulations increasingly enable consumers to switch among market segments, making segmentation an endogenous outcome of strategic interaction. We study a model in which consumers choose segments before a monopolist sets…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-14 Zhonghong Kuang , Sanxi Li , Yi Liu , Yang Yu

We study how market segmentation affects consumers when a monopolist can adjust both prices and product qualities across segments, engaging in second- and third-degree price discrimination simultaneously. We characterize the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-04 Dirk Bergemann , Tibor Heumann , Michael C. Wang

We develop SHOPPER, a sequential probabilistic model of shopping data. SHOPPER uses interpretable components to model the forces that drive how a customer chooses products; in particular, we designed SHOPPER to capture how items interact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

We investigate the relationship between product offerings, information dissemination, and consumer decision-making in a monopolistic screening environment in which consumers lack information about their valuation of quality-differentiated…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-13 Panagiotis Kyriazis , Edmund Lou
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