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Sequential decision problems are often approximately solvable by simulating possible future action sequences. Metalevel decision procedures have been developed for selecting which action sequences to simulate, based on estimating the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Nicholas Hay , Stuart Russell , David Tolpin , Solomon Eyal Shimony

We consider the issue of reporting the result of search experiment in the most unbiased and efficient way, i.e. in a way which allows an easy interpretation and combination of results and which do not depend on whether the experimenters…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Astone , G. D'Agostini

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a class of popular methods for expensive black-box optimization, and has been widely applied to many scenarios. However, BO suffers from the curse of dimensionality, and scaling it to high-dimensional problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Lei Song , Ke Xue , Xiaobin Huang , Chao Qian

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is an approach for computing ground-state wavefunctions that has recently become more powerful due to the introduction of neural network-based wavefunction parametrizations. However, efficiently training neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Robert J. Webber , Michael Lindsey

We present a Bayesian inference approach to estimating the cumulative mass profile and mean squared velocity profile of a globular cluster given the spatial and kinematic information of its stars. Mock globular clusters with a range of…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-03-09 Gwendolyn M. Eadie , Jeremy J. Webb , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Bayesian model-based clustering is a widely applied procedure for discovering groups of related observations in a dataset. These approaches use Bayesian mixture models, estimated with MCMC, which provide posterior samples of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Ketong Wang , Michael D. Porter

The Bayesian estimation of GARCH-family models has been typically addressed through Monte Carlo sampling. Variational Inference is gaining popularity and attention as a robust approach for Bayesian inference in complex machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Martin Magris , Alexandros Iosifidis

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

Beam dump experiments have been used to search for new particles with null results interpreted in terms of limits on masses $m_\phi$ and coupling constants $\epsilon$. However these limits have been obtained by using approximations…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-02-22 Yu-Sheng Liu , David McKeen , Gerald A. Miller

We describe a novel approach to the detection and parameter estimation of a non\textendash Gaussian stochastic background of gravitational waves. The method is based on the determination of relevant statistical parameters using importance…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-08-22 Riccardo Buscicchio , Anirban Ain , Matteo Ballelli , Giancarlo Cella , Barbara Patricelli

In order to separate astrophysical gravitational-wave signals from instrumental noise, which often contains transient non-Gaussian artifacts, astronomers have traditionally relied on bootstrap methods such as time slides. Bootstrap methods…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-12-25 Gregory Ashton , Eric Thrane , Rory J. E. Smith

A variant of the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo method is used to study the behavior of a granular gas, in two and three dimensions, under varying density, restitution coefficient, and inelasticity regimes, for realistic vibrating wall…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Welles A. M. Morgado , Eduardo R. Mucciolo

We consider filters for the detection and extraction of compact sources on a background. We make a one-dimensional treatment (though a generalization to two or more dimensions is possible) assuming that the sources have a Gaussian profile…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Lopez-Caniego , D. Herranz , R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz

Searches for gravitational wave signals which do not have a precise model describing the shape of their waveforms are often performed using power detectors based on a quadratic form of the data. A new, optimal method of generalizing these…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-10 Julien Sylvestre

The detection of unmodeled gravitational-wave bursts by ground-based interferometric gravitational-wave detectors is a major goal for the advanced detector era. These searches are commonly cast as pattern recognition problems, where the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-08-26 Michael Coughlin , Patrick Meyers , Shivaraj Kandhasamy , Eric Thrane , Nelson Christensen

The quest to observe gravitational waves challenges our ability to discriminate signals from detector noise. This issue is especially relevant for transient gravitational waves searches with a robust eyes wide open approach, the so called…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-19 S. Vinciguerra , M. Drago , G. A. Prodi , S. Klimenko , C. Lazzaro , V. Necula , F. Salemi , V. Tiwari , M. C. Tringali , G. Vedovato

Monte Carlo simulations are widely employed to measure the physical properties of glass-forming liquids in thermal equilibrium. Combined with local Monte Carlo moves, the Metropolis algorithm can also be used to simulate the relaxation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-23 Ludovic Berthier , Federico Ghimenti Frédéric van Wijland

In nuclear fusion and fission, fluctuation and dissipation arise due to the coupling of collective degrees of freedom with internal excitations. Close to the barrier, both quantum, statistical and non-Markovian effects are expected to be…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2010-04-06 G. Hupin , D. Lacroix

Ground-based gravitational wave laser interferometers (LIGO, GEO-600, Virgo and Tama-300) have now reached high sensitivity and duty cycle. We present a Bayesian evidence-based approach to the search for gravitational waves, in particular…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

Bayesian analysis is widely used in science and engineering for real-time forecasting, decision making, and to help unravel the processes that explain the observed data. These data are some deterministic and/or stochastic transformations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Jiangjiang Zhang , Jasper A. Vrugt , Xiaoqing Shi , Guang Lin , Lingzao Zeng , Laosheng Wu
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