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Related papers: Closed-form likelihood expansions for multivariate…

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We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

The paper is split in two parts: in the first part, we construct the exact likelihood for a discretely observed rough differential equation, driven by a piecewise linear path. In the second part, we use this likelihood in order to construct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Kasia B. Taylor

We derive a new theoretical interpretation of the reweighted losses that are widely used for training diffusion models. Our method is based on constructing a cascade of time-dependent variational lower bounds on the data log-likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias

Considered a pair of random lifetimes whose dependence is described by a Time Transformed Exponential model, we provide analytical expressions for the distribution of their sum. These expressions are obtained by using a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Jorge Navarro , Franco Pellerey , Julio Mulero

In this paper, we introduce a new multivariate discrete distribution which called multivariate unification of generalized Apostol type distribution (UGAT). Several prop- erties are studied as, moments, probability generating function and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Beih S. El-Desouky , Rabab Gomaa

A method of calculating probability values from a system of marginal constraints is presented. Previous systems for finding the probability of a single attribute have either made an independence assumption concerning the evidence or have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 J. W. Miller , R. M. Goodman

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Cumulant expansion is used to derive accurate closed-form approximation for Monthly Sum Options in case of constant volatility model. Payoff of Monthly Sum Option is based on sum of $N$ caped (and probably floored) returns. It is noticed,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-09 V. M. Belyaev

In this paper, we analyse a method for approximating the distribution function and density of a random variable that depends in a non-trivial way on a possibly high number of independent random variables, each with support on the whole real…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

In the idealized Morgan model of crossover, we study the probability distributions of shared DNA (identical by descent) between individuals having a wide range of relationships (not just lineal descendants), especially cases for which…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-08 William H. Press , John Hawkins

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

We present theoretical properties of the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a density based on an independent and identically distributed sample in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our study covers both the case where the true underlying density is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Madeleine Cule , Richard Samworth

Let X be a locally compact Abelian group. We consider linear forms of independent random variables with values in X. In doing so, one of the coefficients of the linear forms is a random variable with a Bernoulli distribution. For some…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Gennadiy Feldman

We describe a simple method for making inference on a functional of a multivariate distribution. The method is based on a copula representation of the multivariate distribution and it is based on the properties of an Approximate Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-18 Clara Grazian , Brunero Liseo

The functional ANOVA expansion of a multivariate mapping plays a fundamental role in statistics. The expansion is unique once a unique distribution is assigned to the covariates. Recent investigations in the environmental and climate…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-17 Emanuele Borgonovo , Max D. Morris , Elmar Plischke

The diffusion equation and its time-fractional counterpart can be obtained via the diffusion limit of continuous-time random walks with exponential and heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. The space dependent variable-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang , Zhuang Xu

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli

In this paper we present an integro-differential diffusion equation for continuous time random walk that is valid for a generic waiting time probability density function. Using this equation we also study diffusion behaviors for a couple of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Kwok Sau Fa , K. G. Wang

We propose nonparametric open-end sequential testing procedures that can detect all types of changes in the contemporary distribution function of possibly multivariate observations. Their asymptotic properties are theoretically investigated…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic , Alex Verhoijsen

Consider a piecewise smooth expanding map of the interval possessing several invariant subintervals and the same number of ergodic absolutely continuous invariant probability measures (ACIMs). After this system is perturbed to make the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Paul Wright