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We present a simple result that allows us to evaluate the asymptotic order of the remainder of a partial asymptotic expansion of the quantile function $h(u)$ as $u\to 0^+$ or $1^-$. This is focussed on important univariate distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

Asymptotic expansion is presented for an estimator of the Hurst coefficient of a fractional Brownian motion. For this, a recently developed theory of asymptotic expansion of the distribution of Wiener functionals is applied. The effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Yuliya Mishura , Hayate Yamagishi , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

We develop the asymptotic expansion theory for vector-valued sequences (F N) N $\ge$1 of random variables in terms of the convergence of the Stein-Malliavin matrix associated to the sequence F N. Our approach combines the classical Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Ciprian Tudor , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study the Nadaraya-Watson (N-W) estimator for the drift function of two-sided reflected stochastic processes. We propose a discrete-type N-W estimator and a continuous-type N-W estimator based on the discretely observed processes and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

This paper deals with a nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator $\hat b$ of the drift function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. Risk bounds on $\hat b$ and its discrete-time approximation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Nicolas Marie , Amélie Rosier

The objective of the paper is to identify and investigate all possible types of asymptotic behavior for the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in the second-order linear stochastic ordinary differential equation driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Ning Lin , Sergey V. Lototsky

In this paper, we propose improved estimation method for logistic regression based on subsamples taken according the optimal subsampling probabilities developed in Wang et al. 2018 Both asymptotic results and numerical results show that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 HaiYing Wang

The problem of sampling according to the probability distribution minimizing a given free energy, using interacting particles unadjusted kinetic Langevin Monte Carlo, is addressed. In this setting, three sources of error arise, related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Pierre Monmarché , Katharina Schuh

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

The crossover among two or more types of diffusive processes represents a vibrant theme in nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work we propose two models to generate crossovers among different L\'evy processes: in the first model we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-15 Maike A. F. dos Santos , Fernando D. Nobre , Evaldo M. F. Curado

We introduce the bivariate jump-diffusion process, comprising two-dimensional diffusion and two-dimensional jumps, that can be coupled to one another. We present a data-driven, non-parametric estimation procedure of higher-order (up to 8)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-25 Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Jan Heysel , Klaus Lehnertz , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We give two asymptotic results for the empirical distance covariance on separable metric spaces without any iid assumption on the samples. In particular, we show the almost sure convergence of the empirical distance covariance for any…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Marius Kroll

We use an effective Markovian description to study the long-time behaviour of a nonlinear second order Langevin equation with Gaussian noise. When dissipation is neglected, the energy of the system grows as with time a power-law with an…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-19 Kirone Mallick

In this paper the elicitation of probabilities from human experts is considered as a measurement process, which may be disturbed by random 'measurement noise'. Using Bayesian concepts a second order probability distribution is derived…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Gerhard Paaß

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Krzysztof J. Szajowski