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These are lecture notes for a simple minicourse approaching the satistical properties of a dynamical system by the study of the associated transfer operator (considered on a suitable functions or measures spaces). The following questions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Stefano Galatolo

Low-count time series describe sparse or intermittent events, which are prevalent in large-scale online platforms that capture and monitor diverse data types. Several distinct challenges surface when modelling low-count time series,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Philipp Renz , Kurt Cutajar , Niall Twomey , Gavin K. C. Cheung , Hanting Xie

A class of random graph models is considered, combining features of exponential-family models and latent structure models, with the goal of retaining the strengths of both of them while reducing the weaknesses of each of them. An open…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Sergii Babkin , Jonathan Stewart , Xiaochen Long , Michael Schweinberger

Studying sample path behaviour of stochastic fields/processes is a classical research topic in probability theory and related areas such as fractal geometry. To this end, many methods have been developed since a long time in Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Antoine Ayache , Geoffrey Boutard

The research described herewith is to re-visit the classical doubly robust estimation of average treatment effect by conducting a systematic study on the comparisons, in the sense of asymptotic efficiency, among all possible combinations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Keli Guo , Chuyun Ye , Jun Fan , Lixing Zhu

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

We introduce a class of multifractal processes, referred to as Multifractal Random Walks (MRWs). To our knowledge, it is the first multifractal processes with continuous dilation invariance properties and stationary increments. MRWs are…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Bacry , J. Delour , J. F. Muzy

We study the scaling behaviors in the wind velocity time series collected at the atmospheric surface layer and compare them with two commonly used cascade models, the truncated stable distribution and the log-normal model. Results show that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2012-12-03 Lei Liu , Fei Hu

The log-periodic power law (LPPL) is a model of asset prices during endogenous bubbles. A major open issue is to verify the presence of LPPL in price sequences and to estimate the LPPL parameters. Estimation is complicated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-01 Vincenzo Liberatore

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

This work studies the averaging principle for a fully coupled two time-scale system, whose slow process is a diffusion process and fast process is a purely jumping process on an infinitely countable state space. The ergodicity of the fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Yong-Hua Mao , Jinghai Shao

We propose a novel estimation procedure for scale-by-scale lead-lag relationships of financial assets observed at high-frequency in a non-synchronous manner. The proposed estimation procedure does not require any interpolation processing of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Frequency tagging is a powerful approach to investigate the neural processing of sensory features, and is recently adapted to study the neural correlates of superordinate structures, i.e., chunks, in complex sequences such as speech and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-04 Nai Ding

Transseries expansions build upon ordinary power series methods by including additional basis elements such as exponentials and logarithms. Alternative summation methods can then be used to "resum" series to obtain more efficient…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Inês Aniceto , Daniel Hasenbichler , Christopher J. Howls , Christopher J. Lustri

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

The notion of self-similar energy cascades and multifractality has long since been connected with fully developed, homogeneous and isotropic turbulence. We introduce a number of amendments to the standard methods for analysing the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Alber , S. Lueck , C. Renner , J. Peinke

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

We develop a stochastic model for the velocity gradients dynamics along a Lagrangian trajectory. Comparing with different attempts proposed in the literature, the present model, at the cost of introducing a free parameter known in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Rodrigo M. Pereira , Luca Moriconi , Laurent Chevillard