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Related papers: Solar forced Dansgaard-Oeschger events and their p…

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The level of solar magnetic activity, as exemplified by the number of sunspots and by energetic events in the corona, varies on a wide range of time scales. Most prominent is the 11-year solar cycle, which is significantly modulated on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schüssler

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

Nonlinear oscillators are commonly encountered in a wide range of physical and engineering systems, exhibiting rich and complex dynamics. Among these, the Van der Pol oscillator is well known for its self-sustained limit cycle behavior.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-17 Samaira Tibrewal , Soumyajit Seth

The dynamics of glacial cycles is studied in terms of the dynamical systems theory. We explore the dependence of the climate state on the phase of astronomical forcing by examining five conceptual models of glacial cycles proposed in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-07-03 Takahito Mitsui , Kazuyuki Aihara

Atmospheric blocking events drive persistent weather extremes in midlatitudes, but isolating the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) from chaotic internal atmospheric variability on these events remains a challenge. We address this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-06 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

In this last Paper III additional evidences that the solar high energetic particles radiation with energies higher as 100 MeV (the solar cosmic rays SCR) is an very important component for the "Sun- climate" relationship are given (see also…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2010-07-14 Boris Komitov

Solar activity is studied using a cluster analysis of the time-fluctuations of sunspot number. In the historic period (1850-1932) the cluster exponent was approximately equal to 0.37 (strong clustering) for the high activity components of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-08-03 A. Bershadskii

Quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) of solar magnetic activities is intrinsic to dynamo mechanism, but still far from fully understood. In this work, the phase and amplitude asymmetry of solar QBO of Halpha flare activity in the northern and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-16 L. H. Deng , X. J. Zhang , G. Y. Li , H. Deng , F. Wang

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

The heliophysics catalogues published by the Ebro Observatory during 1910--1937 have been converted into a digital format in order to provide the data for computational processing. This has allowed us to study in detail the North-South…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 V. de Paula , J. J. Curto , R. Oliver

The winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) modulates East Asian climate and the East/Japan Sea (EJS), yet local, scale-dependent air-sea couplings linking atmosphere, ocean and sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remain unclear. Using 30 years…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

We study the impact of applying stochastic forcing to the Ghil-Sellers energy balance climate model in the form of a fluctuating solar irradiance. Through numerical simulations, we explore the noise-induced transitions between the competing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-23 Valerio Lucarini , Larissa Serdukova , Georgios Margazoglou

We explore the effect of some simple perturbations on three chaotic models proposed to describe large scale solar behavior via the solar dynamo theory: the Lorenz and the Rikitake systems, and a Van der Pol-Duffing oscillator. Planetary…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-15 Juan M. Muñoz , Alexandre Wagemakers , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

We determined the differential rotation (DR) parameters $A$ and $B$ (corresponding to the equatorial rotation velocity and the gradient of the solar DR) by tracing sunspot groups in sunspot drawings of the Kanzelh\"ohe Observatory for Solar…

This work builds on a recently developed self-consistent synchronization model of the solar dynamo which attempts to explain Rieger-type periods, the Schwabe/Hale cycle and the Suess-de Vries and Gleissberg cycles in terms of resonances of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-27 F. Stefani , G. M. Horstmann , G. Mamatsashvili , T. Weier

Guided by the working hypothesis that the Schwabe cycle of solar activity is synchronized by the 11.07 years alignment cycle of the tidally dominant planets Venus, Earth and Jupiter, we reconsider the phase diagrams of sediment accumulation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 F. Stefani , J. Beer , A. Giesecke , T. Gloaguen , M. Seilmayer , R. Stepanov , T. Weier

Variable renewable energy droughts, so called Dunkelflaute events, emerge as a challenge for climate-neutral energy systems based on variable renewables. Here we characterize European drought events for on- and offshore wind power, solar…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-12 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition, the shift from 41 kyr to 100 kyr glacial-interglacial cycles that occurred roughly 1 Myr ago, is often considered as a change in internal climate dynamics. Here we revisit the model of Quaternary climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-01-14 Courtney Quinn , Jan Sieber , Anna S. von der Heydt , Timothy M. Lenton

The variability in the magnetic activity of the Sun is the main source of the observed changes in the plasma and electromagnetic environments within the heliosphere. The primary way in which solar activity affects the Earth's environment is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-27 Raffaele Reda , Mirko Stumpo , Luca Giovannelli , Tommaso Alberti , Giuseppe Consolini