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Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a…
We prove Gaussian tail estimates for the transition probability of $n$ particles evolving as symmetric exclusion processes on $\bb Z^d$, improving results obtained in \cite{l}. We derive from this result a non-equilibrium Boltzmann-Gibbs…
Deep Learning Gaussian Processes (DL-GP) are proposed as a methodology for analyzing (approximating) computer models that produce heteroskedastic and high-dimensional output. Computer simulation models have many areas of applications,…
We study the approximation of stationary processes by a simple class of purely deterministic signals. This has an analytic counterpart in the approximation of symmetric positive definite Toeplitz matrices by submatrices of finite rank. We…
In this work, we give efficient algorithms for privately estimating a Gaussian distribution in both pure and approximate differential privacy (DP) models with optimal dependence on the dimension in the sample complexity. In the pure DP…
In this paper we address the statistical problem of testing if a stationary process is Gaussian. The observation consists in a finite sample path of the process. Using a random projection technique introduced and studied in Cuesta-Albertos…
A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…
Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…
Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…
We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…
We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…
We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…
The main goal of this article is to study the effect of small, highly nonlinear, unbounded drifts (small time large deviation principle (LDP) based on exponential equivalence arguments) for a class of stochastic partial differential…
The entropy of an ergodic finite-alphabet process can be computed from a single typical sample path x_1^n using the entropy of the k-block empirical probability and letting k grow with $n$ roughly like log n. We further assume that the…
State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…
Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…
We study the probability of a real-valued stationary process to be positive on a large interval $[0,N]$. We show that if in some neighborhood of the origin the spectral measure of the process has density which is bounded away from zero and…
We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…
It is common to model a deterministic response function, such as the output of a computer experiment, as a Gaussian process with a Mat\'ern covariance kernel. The smoothness parameter of a Mat\'ern kernel determines many important…
We give a procedure for computing group-level $(\epsilon, \delta)$-DP guarantees for DP-SGD, when using Poisson sampling or fixed batch size sampling. Up to discretization errors in the implementation, the DP guarantees computed by this…