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We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao

We consider the small deviation probabilities (SDP) for sums of stationary Gaussian sequences. For the cases of constant boundaries and boundaries tending to zero, we obtain quite general results. For the case of the boundaries tending to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

We give two examples of periodic Gaussian processes, having entropy numbers of exactly same order but radically different small deviations. Our construction is based on classical Knopp's result yielding of existence of continuous nowhere…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michel Weber

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We present a new lower bound on the differential entropy rate of stationary processes whose sequences of probability density functions fulfill certain regularity conditions. This bound is obtained by showing that the gap between the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-30 Meik Dörpinghaus

We study deviation probabilities for the number of high positioned particles in branching Brownian motion, and confirm a conjecture of Derrida and Shi (2016). We also solve the corresponding problem for the two-dimensional discrete Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Elie Aïdékon , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

Gaussian random fields on finite dimensional smooth manifolds whose variances reach their maximum value at smooth submanifolds are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of large excursion probabilities have been evaluated. Vector Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

We find logarithmic asymptotics of $L_2$-small deviation probabilities for weighted stationary Gaussian processes (both for real and complex-valued) having power-type discrete or continuous spectrum. As in the recent work by Hong, Lifshits…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Mikhail Lifshits , Alexander Nazarov

We study the small deviation problem $\log\mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]}|X_t|\leq\varepsilon)$, as $\varepsilon\to0$, for general L\'{e}vy processes $X$. The techniques enable us to determine the asymptotic rate for general real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Frank Aurzada , Steffen Dereich

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

We study the Small Ball Probabilities (SBPs) of Gaussian rough paths. While many works on rough paths study the Large Deviations Principles (LDPs) for stochastic processes driven by Gaussian rough paths, it is a noticeable gap in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 William Salkeld

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen
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