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This paper presents a novel theoretical framework for reducing the computational complexity of multi-model adaptive control/estimation systems through systematic transformation to controllable canonical form. While traditional multi-model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Farid Mafi , Ladan Khoshnevisan , Mohammad Pirani , Amir Khajepour

The ability of widely used sampling methods, such as molecular dynamics or Monte Carlo, to explore complex free energy landscapes is severely hampered by the presence of kinetic bottlenecks. A large number of solutions have been proposed to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-29 Omar Valsson , Michele Parrinello

Sampling rare events in metastable dynamical systems is often a computationally expensive task and one needs to resort to enhanced sampling methods such as importance sampling. Since we can formulate the problem of finding optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Enric Ribera Borrell , Jannes Quer , Lorenz Richter , Christof Schütte

Foundational Machine Learning Potentials can resolve the accuracy and transferability limitations of classical force fields. They enable microscopic insights into material behavior through Molecular Dynamics simulations, which can crucially…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Paul Fuchs , Julija Zavadlav

In climate science, the tuning of climate models is a computationally intensive problem due to the combination of the high-dimensionality of the system state and long integration times. Supermodelling is a technique which has shown the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Jordan Seneca , Suzanne Bintanja , Frank M. Selten

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

For estimating area-specific parameters (quantities) in a finite population, a mixed model prediction approach is attractive. However, this approach strongly depends on the normality assumption of the response values although we often…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-12 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In this paper we propose a new formalism to map history-dependent metadynamics in a Markovian process. We apply this formalism to a model Langevin dynamics and determine the equilibrium distribution of a collection of simulations. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-02 Giovanni Bussi , Alessandro Laio , Michele Parrinello

We propose a new method to obtain kinetic properties of infrequent events from molecular dynamics simulation. The procedure employs a recently introduced variational approach [Valsson and Parrinello, Phys. Rev. Lett. 113, 090601 (2014)] to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-19 James McCarty , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello

Biased sampling of collective variables is widely used to accelerate rare events in molecular simulations and to explore free energy surfaces. However, computational efficiency of these methods decreases with increasing number of collective…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-04-05 Shalini Awasthi , Nisanth N. Nair

We introduce a novel scheme for the mechanistic investigation of solid-solid phase transitions, which we dub \textit{metashooting}. Combining transition path sampling molecular dynamics and metadynamics, this scheme allows for both a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-24 Samuel Alexander Jobbins , Salah Eddine Boulfelfel , Stefano Leoni

Variational inference in probabilistic graphical models aims to approximate fundamental quantities such as marginal distributions and the partition function. Popular approaches are the Bethe approximation, tree-reweighted, and other types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Harald Leisenberger , Franz Pernkopf

Neural ODE Processes approach the problem of meta-learning for dynamics using a latent variable model, which permits a flexible aggregation of contextual information. This flexibility is inherited from the Neural Process framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Ben Day , Alexander Norcliffe , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Engineering the free-energy surfaces (FES) of proteins and peptides is central to controlling conformational ensembles and their responses to perturbations. However, predicting how chemical modifications such as point mutations reshape the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-03-10 Muralika Medaparambath , Alexander Zhilkin , Dan Mendels

Many chemical processes exhibit diverse timescale dynamics with a strong coupling between timescale sensitive variables. Model predictive control with a non-uniformly spaced optimisation horizon is an effective approach to multi-timescale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

This report presents the application of polynomial regression for estimating free energy differences using thermodynamic integration. We employ linear regression to construct a polynomial that optimally fits the thermodynamic integration…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-10-02 Conrad Shyu , F. Marty Ytreberg

The goal of these lecture notes is to review the problem of free energy minimization as a unified framework underlying the definition of maximum entropy modelling, generalized Bayesian inference, learning with latent variables, statistical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Sharu Theresa Jose , Osvaldo Simeone

We derive the optimal estimates of the free energies of an arbitrary number of thermodynamic states from nonequilibrium work measurements; the work data are collected from forward and reverse switching processes and obey a fluctuation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Paul Maragakis , Martin Spichty , Martin Karplus

Generative models have advanced significantly in sampling material systems with continuous variables, such as atomistic structures. However, their application to discrete variables, like atom types or spin states, remains underexplored. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Ping Tuo , Zezhu Zeng , Jiale Chen , Bingqing Cheng
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