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This paper studies the Exponential Weights (EW) algorithm with an isotropic Gaussian prior for online logistic regression. We show that the near-optimal worst-case regret bound $O(d\log(Bn))$ for EW, established by Kakade and Ng (2005)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Federico Di Gennaro , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang

Forward regression is a statistical model selection and estimation procedure which inductively selects covariates that add predictive power into a working statistical regression model. Once a model is selected, unknown regression parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Damian Kozbur

Variable selection is one of the most important tasks in statistics and machine learning. To incorporate more prior information about the regression coefficients, the constrained Lasso model has been proposed in the literature. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Zengde Deng , Anthony Man-Cho So

We present a new PAC-Bayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds contain a $\sqrt{L_n \cdot \KL/n}$ complexity term which dominates unless $L_n$, the empirical error of the learning algorithm's randomized predictions, vanishes. We manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Zakaria Mhammedi , Peter D. Grunwald , Benjamin Guedj

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We introduce a method for aggregating many least squares estimator so that the resulting estimate has two properties: sparsity and structure. That is, only a few candidate covariates are used in the resulting model, and the selected…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-22 Daniel Percival

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

We study the fundamental tradeoffs between statistical accuracy and computational tractability in the analysis of high dimensional heterogeneous data. As examples, we study sparse Gaussian mixture model, mixture of sparse linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin

We present a novel Bayesian approach for high-dimensional grouped regression under sparsity. We leverage a sparse projection method that uses a sparsity-inducing map to derive an induced posterior on a lower-dimensional parameter space. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghosal

We study computational-statistical gaps for improper learning in sparse linear regression. More specifically, given $n$ samples from a $k$-sparse linear model in dimension $d$, we ask what is the minimum sample complexity to efficiently (in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Rares-Darius Buhai , Jingqiu Ding , Stefan Tiegel

We consider the problem of estimating a sparse linear regression vector $\beta^*$ under a gaussian noise model, for the purpose of both prediction and model selection. We assume that prior knowledge is available on the sparsity pattern,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-21 Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Sara van de Geer

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

Forecasting revenues by aggregating analyst forecasts is a fundamental problem in financial research and practice. A key objective in this context is to improve the accuracy of the forecast by optimizing two performance metrics: the hit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Henry D. van Eijk , Sujit K. Ghosh

Generalization in deep learning has been the topic of much recent theoretical and empirical research. Here we introduce desiderata for techniques that predict generalization errors for deep learning models in supervised learning. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

Compression and computational efficiency in deep learning have become a problem of great significance. In this work, we argue that the most principled and effective way to attack this problem is by adopting a Bayesian point of view, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Karen Ullrich , Max Welling

In the estimation of the causal effect under linear Structural Causal Models (SCMs), it is common practice to first identify the causal structure, estimate the probability distributions, and then calculate the causal effect. However, if the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-16 Shunsuke Horii

Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models but, at the same time, introduce the restriction that each equation features the same set of explanatory variables. This paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-27 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Luca Onorante

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for the estimation problem of heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (an oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov