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Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

We study the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms -- focusing on stochastic gradient descent (SGD) -- using a novel combination of PAC-Bayes and algorithmic stability. Importantly, our generalization bounds hold for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Ben London

In a regression setup with deterministic design, we study the pure aggregation problem and introduce a natural extension from the Gaussian distribution to distributions in the exponential family. While this extension bears strong…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-06 Philippe Rigollet

We formulate weighted graph clustering as a prediction problem: given a subset of edge weights we analyze the ability of graph clustering to predict the remaining edge weights. This formulation enables practical and theoretical comparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-09-03 Yevgeny Seldin

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Divya Grover , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

We focus on a stochastic learning model where the learner observes a finite set of training examples and the output of the learning process is a data-dependent distribution over a space of hypotheses. The learned data-dependent distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Omar Rivasplata , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvari , John Shawe-Taylor

It is common practice to combine deep neural networks into ensembles. These deep ensembles can benefit from the cancellation of errors effect: Errors by ensemble members may average out, leading to better generalization performance than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Nick Hauptvogel , Christian Igel

Off-policy learning (OPL) often involves minimizing a risk estimator based on importance weighting to correct bias from the logging policy used to collect data. However, this method can produce an estimator with a high variance. A common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Imad Aouali , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , David Rohde , Anna Korba

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression under sparsity constraints. The prior is a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Ismaël Castillo , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Aad van der Vaart

We prove general exponential moment inequalities for averages of [0,1]-valued iid random variables and use them to tighten the PAC Bayesian Theorem. The logarithmic dependence on the sample count in the enumerator of the PAC Bayesian bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andreas Maurer

This work establishes a novel link between the problem of PAC-learning high-dimensional graphical models and the task of (efficient) counting and sampling of graph structures, using an online learning framework. We observe that if we apply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Philips George John , Sayantan Sen , N. V. Vinodchandran

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We make three related contributions motivated by the challenge of training stochastic neural networks, particularly in a PAC-Bayesian setting: (1) we show how averaging over an ensemble of stochastic neural networks enables a new class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

We study prediction with expert advice in the setting where the losses are accumulated with some discounting---the impact of old losses may gradually vanish. We generalize the Aggregating Algorithm and the Aggregating Algorithm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-06-07 Alexey Chernov , Fedor Zhdanov

In this paper, we study the statistical behaviour of the Exponentially Weighted Aggregate (EWA) in the problem of high-dimensional regression with fixed design. Under the assumption that the underlying regression vector is sparse, it is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Edwin Grappin , Quentin Paris

Group-based sparsity models are proven instrumental in linear regression problems for recovering signals from much fewer measurements than standard compressive sensing. The main promise of these models is the recovery of "interpretable"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Luca Baldassarre , Nirav Bhan , Volkan Cevher , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Siddhartha Satpathi

Bayesian neural networks promise calibrated uncertainty but require $O(mn)$ parameters for standard mean-field Gaussian posteriors. We argue this cost is often unnecessary, particularly when weight matrices exhibit fast singular value…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mame Diarra Toure , David A. Stephens

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer