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Simulation-based inference methods that feature correct conditional coverage of confidence sets based on observations that have been compressed to a scalar test statistic require accurate modeling of either the p-value function or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

We prove that if $q_1, \ldots, q_m: {\Bbb R}^n \longrightarrow {\Bbb R}$ are quadratic forms in variables $x_1, \ldots, x_n$ such that each $q_k$ depends on at most $r$ variables and each $q_k$ has common variables with at most $r$ other…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Alexander Barvinok

We derive limiting distributions of symmetrized estimators of scatter, where instead of all $n(n-1)/2$ pairs of the $n$ observations we only consider $nd$ suitably chosen pairs, $1 \le d < \lfloor n/2\rfloor$. It turns out that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Lutz Duembgen , Klaus Nordhausen

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

Weibull distribution has received a wide range of applications in engineering and science. The utility and usefulness of an estimator is highly subject to the field of practitioner's study. In practice users looking for their desired…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-18 Sahar Sadani , Kamel Abdollahnezhad , Mahdi Teimouri , Vahid Ranjbar

Graphical models have become a very popular tool for representing dependencies within a large set of variables and are key for representing causal structures. We provide results for uniform inference on high-dimensional graphical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-04 Sven Klaassen , Jannis Kück , Martin Spindler , Victor Chernozhukov

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are popular models for point processes with repulsion. They appear in numerous contexts, from physics to graph theory, and display appealing theoretical properties. On the more practical side of things,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Simon Barthelmé , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Nicolas Tremblay

The goal of this paper is to generalize the main results of [KM] and subsequent papers on metric Diophantine approximation with dependent quantities to the set-up of systems of linear forms. In particular, we establish `joint strong…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-10 Dmitry Kleinbock , Gregory Margulis , Junbo Wang

For any finite point set in $D$-dimensional space equipped with the 1-norm, we present random linear embeddings to $k$-dimensional space, with a new metric, having the following properties. For any pair of points from the point set that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Michael P. Casey

Let $f$ be a real arithmetic function and let $g:[1,\infty[\to{\mathbb R}$ be a smooth function. We describe two emblematic instances in which saddle-point estimates may be used to evaluate the frequency, on the set of integers $n\leqslant…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Gérald Tenenbaum

Measuring geometric similarity between high-dimensional network representations is a topic of longstanding interest to neuroscience and deep learning. Although many methods have been proposed, only a few works have rigorously analyzed their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Dean A. Pospisil , Brett W. Larsen , Sarah E. Harvey , Alex H. Williams

This paper is motivated by Davenport's problem and the subsequent work regarding badly approximable points in submanifolds of a Euclidian space. We study the problem in the area of twisted Diophantine approximation and present two different…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Paloma Bengoechea , Nikolay Moshchevitin , Natalia Stepanova

A randomised trapezoidal quadrature rule is proposed for continuous functions which enjoys less regularity than commonly required. Indeed, we consider functions in some fractional Sobolev space. Various error bounds for this randomised rule…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Yue Wu

Let $\alpha$ be an irrational real number. We show that the set of $\epsilon$-badly approximable numbers \[ \mathrm{Bad}^\varepsilon (\alpha) := \{x\in [0,1]\, : \, \liminf_{|q| \to \infty} |q| \cdot \| q\alpha -x \| \geq \varepsilon \} \]…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Yann Bugeaud , Dong Han Kim , Seonhee Lim , Michał Rams

Conformal prediction provides finite-sample, distribution-free coverage under exchangeability, but standard constructions may lack robustness in the presence of outliers or heavy tails. We propose a robust conformal method based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Emilien Joly , Leonardo Moreno

We establish a universal approximation theorem for signatures of rough paths that are not necessarily weakly geometric. By extending the path with time and its rough path bracket terms, we prove that linear functionals of the signature of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Mihriban Ceylan , Anna P. Kwossek , David J. Prömel

Statistical divergences (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are a basic constituent of statistical inference and machine learning. A modern method for estimating those divergences relies on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld

We propose stochastic variance reduced algorithms for solving convex-concave saddle point problems, monotone variational inequalities, and monotone inclusions. Our framework applies to extragradient, forward-backward-forward, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Ahmet Alacaoglu , Yura Malitsky