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A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Lisa Balsollier , Frédéric Lavancier

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

A new stochastic method for describing mortality is proposed and explored. It is based on differences of observed times series of the transform $\log(-\log x)$ of survival probabilities which seem to follow simple patterns over the years.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-26 Meitner Cadena

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

In this paper, we introduce a general numerical method to approximate the reproduction numbers of a large class of multi-group, age-structured, population models with a finite age span. To provide complete flexibility in the definition of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio

We consider a generalized birth-death process (GBDP) whose state space is a finite subset of a $q$-dimensional lattice. It is assumed that there can be a jump of finite step size in all possible directions such that the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-23 P. Vishwakarma , K. K. Kataria

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pierre Terrier , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Manuel Athènes

A birth and death process is a continuous-time Markov chain with the minimal state space $\mathbb N$, whose transition matrix is standard and whose density matrix is the given birth-death matrix. Birth and death process is unique if and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Liping Li

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider the well-known problem of the computation of the (limiting) time-dependent performance characteristics of one-dimensional continuous-time birth and death processes on $\mathbb{Z}$ with time varying and possible state-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Yacov Satin , Rostislav Razumchik , Alexander Zeifman , Ivan Kovalev

These notes are based on the lectures that I gave (virtually) at the Bruneck Summer School in 2021 on first-passage processes and some applications of the basic theory. I begin by defining what is a first-passage process and presenting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 S. Redner

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

We consider Poisson's equation for quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) and we exploit the special transition structure of QBDs to obtain its solutions in two different forms. One is based on a decomposition through first passage times to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche , Yuanyuan Liu

The aim of this paper is to give an explicit formula of the invariant distribution of a quasi-birth-and-death process in terms of the block entries of the transition probability matrix using a matrix-valued orthogonal polynomials approach.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Manuel D. de la Iglesia

We introduce a class of branching processes in which the reproduction or lifetime distribution at a given time depends on the total cumulative number of individuals who have been born in the population until that time. We focus on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Sophie Hautphenne , Minyuan Li

We consider the down/up crossing property of weighted Markov branching processes. The joint probability distribution of multi crossing numbers of such processes are obtained. In particular, for Markov branching processes, the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

In the paper is discussed complete probabilistic description of quantum systems with application to multiqubit quantum computations. In simplest case it is a set of probabilities of transitions to some fixed set of states. The probabilities…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Yu. Vlasov

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-02 Győző Egri , Marton Gomori , Balazs Gyenis , Gábor Hofer-Szabó
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