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We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Daryl. J. Daley , Yoni Nazarathy , Jiesen Wang

A stochastic comparison result that makes progress towards understanding the classical multitype contact process with unequal death rates is given. It has long been conjectured that the particle type with the largest birth to death rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Joseph P. Stover

This paper studies birth and death processes in interactive random environments where the birth and death rates and the dynamics of the state of the environment are dependent on each other. Two models of a random environment are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yuri Suhov

Basic properties of Brownian motion are used to derive two results concerning birth-death chains. First, the probability of extinction is calculated. Second, sufficient conditions on the transition probabilities of a birth-death chain are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Greg Markowsky

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

In this paper we study the long term evolution of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two interacting birth-and-death processes. The interaction between the processes is modelled by transition rates which are functions with suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

An idea for evaluating transition probabilities in chemical reaction systems is proposed, which is efficient for repeated calculations with various rate constants. The idea is based on duality relations; instead of direct time-evolutions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-05 Jun Ohkubo

This paper is an attempt to formalize analytically the question raised in "World Population Explained: Do Dead People Outnumber Living, Or Vice Versa?" Huffington Post, \cite{HJ}. We start developing simple deterministic Malthusian growth…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jean Avan , Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We develop a likelihood-based inference for finite-state birth-death processes with composite birth rates, in which multiple distinct mechanisms contribute additively to the total birth intensity. Our main motivating example is an SIS…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Marko Lalovic , Nicos Georgiou , Istvan Z. Kiss

We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We study two different types of vector point processes with interacting components, introducing a migration-type effect. The first case concerns two groups which modify their states with rate functions depending on time only. This yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Fabrizio Cinque , Enzo Orsingher

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

This work presents a construction of stationary Markov models with negative-binomial marginal distributions. A simple closed form expression for the corresponding transition probabilities is given, linking the proposal to well-known classes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Fabrizio Leisen , Ramsés H. Mena , Freddy Palma Mancilla , Luca Rossini

A sufficient condition is obtained for a discrete-time birth-death process to possess the strong ratio limit property, directly in terms of the one-step transition probabilities of the process. The condition encompasses all previously known…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Erik A. van Doorn

We made a first attempt to associate a probabilistic description of stochastic processes like birth-death processes with spacetime geometry in the Schwarzschild metrics on distance scales from the macro- to the micro-domains. We idealize an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 E. Canessa

We examine what happens in a population when it experiences an abrupt change in surrounding conditions. Several cases of such "abrupt transitions" for both physical and living social systems are analyzed from which it can be seen that all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

For a birth-death process subject to catastrophes, defined on the state-space $S=\{r,r+1,r+2,...\}$, with $r$ a positive integer or zero, the first-visit time to a state $k\in S$ is considered and the Laplace transform of its probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Di Crescenzo , V. Giorno , A. G. Nobile , L. M. Ricciardi

Spatially dependent birth-death processes can be modelled by kinetic models such as the BBGKY hierarchy. Diffusion in infinite dimensional systems can be modelled with Brownian motion in Hilbert space. In this work Doi field theoretic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Chris D Greenman