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When the underlying asset displays oscillations, spikes or heavy-tailed distributions, the lognormal diffusion process (for which Black and Scholes developed their momentous option pricing formula) is inadequate: in order to overcome these…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-22 Marcellino Gaudenzi , Alice Spangaro , Patrizia Stucchi

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) have emerged as powerful generative models for complex distributions, yet their use in arbitrage-free derivative pricing remains largely unexplored. Financial asset prices are naturally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Nilay Tiwari

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

In this article, a compact finite difference method is proposed for pricing European and American options under jump-diffusion models. Partial integro-differential equation and linear complementary problem governing European and American…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-25 Kuldip Singh Patel , Mani Mehra

Using spectral decomposition techniques and singular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method to approximate the prices of a variety of options in a fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility setting. Four examples are provided in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Sebastian Jaimungal , Matthew Lorig

In this work, I address the issue of forming riskless hedge in the continuous time option pricing model with stochastic stock volatility. I show that it is essential to verify whether the replicating portfolio is self-financing, in order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. F. Wang

Numerous empirical proofs indicate the adequacy of the time discrete auto-regressive stochastic volatility models introduced by Taylor in the description of the log-returns of financial assets. The pricing and hedging of contingent products…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-31 Joan del Castillo , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Recent theory suggests that reward-model-first methods can be more sample-efficient than direct policy fitting when the reward function is statistically simpler than the induced policy. We propose DDO-RM, a finite-candidate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Tiantian Zhang , Jierui Zuo , Michael Chen , Wenping Wang

We obtain error estimates for strong approximations of a diffusion with a diffusion matrix $\sigma$ and a drift b by the discrete time process defined recursively X_N((n+1)/N) = X_N(n/N)+N^{1/2}\sigma(X_N(n/N))\xi(n+1)+N^{-1}b(XN(n/N));…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Yuri Kifer

This paper studies the original discrete-time denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) from a probabilistic point of view. We present three main theoretical results. First, we show that the time-dependent score function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yumiharu Nakano

We investigate the relation between the fair price for European-style vanilla options and the distribution of short-term returns on the underlying asset ignoring transaction and other costs. We compute the risk-neutral probability density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

Modeling financial markets based on empirical data poses challenges in selecting the most appropriate models. Despite the abundance of empirical data available, researchers often face difficulties in identifying the best-fitting model.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-18 Vygintas Gontis

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

There has been considerable recent study in "sub-diffusion" models that replace the standard parabolic equation model by a one with a fractional derivative in the time variable. There are many ways to look at this newer approach and one…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-04-08 William Rundell , Zhidong Zhang

This study examine the theoretical and empirical perspectives of the symmetric Hawkes model of the price tick structure. Combined with the maximum likelihood estimation, the model provides a proper method of volatility estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

Given a multi-dimensional It\^{o} process whose drift and diffusion terms are adapted processes, we construct a weak solution to a stochastic differential equation that matches the distribution of the It\^{o} process at each fixed time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Gerard Brunick , Steven Shreve

Zero-shot diffusion posterior sampling offers a flexible framework for inverse problems by accommodating arbitrary degradation operators at test time, but incurs high computational cost due to repeated likelihood-guided updates. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Léon Zheng , Thomas Hirtz , Yazid Janati , Eric Moulines

We consider the problem of learning the optimal policy for infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs). For this purpose, some variant of Stochastic Mirror Descent is proposed for convex programming problems with Lipschitz-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Daniil Tiapkin , Alexander Gasnikov

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang