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We study epidemic arrival times in meta-population disease models through the lens of front propagation into unstable states. We demonstrate that several features of invasion fronts in the PDE context are also relevant to the network case.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Ashley Armbruster , Matt Holzer , Noah Roselli , Lena Underwood

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

Susceptibility governs the dynamics of contagion. The classical SIR model is one of the simplest compartmental models of contagion spread, assuming a single shared susceptibility level. However, variation in susceptibility over a population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Christopher Rose , Andrew J. Medford , C. Franklin Goldsmith , Tejs Vegge , Joshua Weitz , Andrew A. Peterson

Populations are seldom completely isolated from their environment. Individuals in a particular geographic or social region may be considered a distinct network due to strong local ties, but will also interact with individuals in other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-30 M. Dickison , S. Havlin , H. E. Stanley

We present the mathematical analysis of generalized complex contagions in clustered multiplex networks for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)-like dynamics. The model is intended to understand diffusion of influence, or any other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-01 Yong Zhuang , Alex Arenas , Osman Yağan

We study metapopulation models for the spread of epidemics in which different subpopulations (cities) are connected by fluxes of individuals (travelers). This framework allows to describe the spread of a disease on a large scale and we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-20 Aurelien Gautreau , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We consider the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a Euclidean network in one dimension in which nodes at a distance $l$ are connected with probability $P(l) \propto l^{-\delta}$ in addition to nearest neighbors. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-04 Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

This paper examines a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic reaction-diffusion model with no-flux boundary conditions and constant total population. The infection mechanism in the model is described by a nonlinear term of the form…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Rui Peng , Rachidi B Salako , Yixiang Wu

We study the influence of heterogeneous mobility patterns in a population on the SIS epidemic model. In particular, we consider a patchy environment in which each patch comprises individuals belonging the different classes, e.g.,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

We study the threshold dynamics of a stochastic SAIRS-type model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals is explicitly considered in the epidemic dynamics. In the model, the values of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Stefania Ottaviano

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on the networks. We derive an analytical expression of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-18 M. Ali Saif

In a prior study, a novel deterministic compartmental model known as the SEIHRK model was introduced, shedding light on the pivotal role of test kits as an intervention strategy for mitigating epidemics. Particularly in heterogeneous…

In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

In this paper, we focus on the influence of heterogeneity and stochasticity of the population on the dynamical structure of a basic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. First we prove that, upon a suitable mathematical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Andreas Widder , Christian Kuehn

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

We present a unified mathematical approach to epidemiological models with parametric heterogeneity, i.e., to the models that describe individuals in the population as having specific parameter (trait) values that vary from one individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-14 Artem S. Novozhilov

The dynamics of epidemic spreading is often reduced to the single control parameter $R_0$, whose value, above or below unity, determines the state of the contagion. If, however, the pathogen evolves as it spreads, $R_0$ may change over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-07 Xiyun Zhang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Muhua Zheng , Jie Zhou , Stefano Boccaletti , Baruch Barzel

The influence of the network's structure on the dynamics of spreading processes has been extensively studied in the last decade. Important results that partially answer this question show a weak connection between the macroscopic behavior…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Ljupco Kocarev

Knowledge on the dynamics of standard epidemic models and their variants over complex networks has been well-established primarily in the stationary regime, with relatively little light shed on their transient behavior. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Aresh Dadlani , Muthukrishnan Senthil Kumar , Kiseon Kim , Faryad Darabi Sahneh