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A linear functional of an object from a convex symmetric set can be optimally estimated, in a worst-case sense, by a linear functional of observations made on the object. This well-known fact is extended here to a nonlinear setting: other…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Simon Foucart

A method for estimating nonlinear regression errors and their distributions without performing regression is presented. Assuming continuity of the modeling function the variance is given in terms of conditional probabilities extracted from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Hong Pi , Carsten Peterson

We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of time-dependent multivariate functions observed in a presence of additive cylindrical Gaussian white noise of a small intensity. We derive minimax lower bounds for the $L^2$-risk in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Jérémie Bigot , Theofanis Sapatinas

We consider the estimation of the value of a linear functional of the slope parameter in functional linear regression, where scalar responses are modeled in dependence of random functions. The theory in this paper covers in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 J. Johannes , R. Schenk

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric regression problem with multivariate predictors. We provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom and divergence for estimators of the unknown regression function, which are obtained as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Xi Chen , Qihang Lin , Bodhisattva Sen

Nonlinear differential equations are encountered as models of fluid flow, spiking neurons, and many other systems of interest in the real world. Common features of these systems are that their behaviors are difficult to describe exactly and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Zexin Sun , Mingyu Chen , John Baillieul

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

Modern statistical analysis often encounters high-dimensional problems but with a limited sample size. It poses great challenges to traditional statistical estimation methods. In this work, we adopt auxiliary learning to solve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Hanchao Yan , Feifei Wang , Chuanxin Xia , Hansheng Wang

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices-including covariance and precision matrices-is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wan Tian , Hui Yang , Zhouhui Lian , Lingyue Zhang , Yijie Peng

Fast approximations of power flow results are beneficial in power system planning and live operation. In planning, millions of power flow calculations are necessary if multiple years, different control strategies or contingency policies are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Florian Schaefer , Jan-Hendrik Menke , Martin Braun

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

In this paper, we propose to study four meteorological and seasonal time series coupled with a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) modeling. We chose to combine two transfer functions for the nodes of the hidden layer, and to use a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Cyril Voyant , Marie Laure Nivet , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Gilles Notton

We consider a finite mixture of regressions (FMR) model for high-dimensional inhomogeneous data where the number of covariates may be much larger than sample size. We propose an l1-penalized maximum likelihood estimator in an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

Covariance matrix estimation is an important problem in multivariate data analysis, both from theoretical as well as applied points of view. Many simple and popular covariance matrix estimators are known to be severely affected by model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

This paper studies the multi-task high-dimensional linear regression models where the noise among different tasks is correlated, in the moderately high dimensional regime where sample size $n$ and dimension $p$ are of the same order. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Kai Tan , Gabriel Romon , Pierre C Bellec

Mixed linear regression (MLR) model is among the most exemplary statistical tools for modeling non-linear distributions using a mixture of linear models. When the additive noise in MLR model is Gaussian, Expectation-Maximization (EM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Babak Barazandeh , Ali Ghafelebashi , Meisam Razaviyayn , Ram Sriharsha

The association between a continuous and an ordinal variable is commonly modeled through the polyserial correlation model. However, this model, which is based on a partially-latent normality assumption, may be misspecified in practice, due…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Max Welz

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

The estimation of high dimensional precision matrices has been a central topic in statistical learning. However, as the number of parameters scales quadratically with the dimension $p$, many state-of-the-art methods do not scale well to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-10 Cheng Wang , Binyan Jiang